Member Info for Auson

pione3r,

No need for apologies. I guess we are all just trying to figure out whats going on behind the scenes.

pione3r,

Stock on loan was 2.59% here at end of Oct. I will concur its a bit odd that no shorters have broken cover and gone above 0.5%

Kurgan2.0,

There will be numerous Shale bankruptcies in 2020. Do you actually keep up to date with the Oil market or just constantly post negative drivel on it ?

I don't think so mate you've just told them your chart says TLW is going up. Tell them the opposite they will be buying in droves !

downbutnotout
Posts: 12,334
Price: 137.85
No Opinion
RE: TLW
Today 11:28
we should have some Premier Oil (PMO) holders in here today. gla

Or a bit more on topic.
"According to S&P Platts, the sulphur limit could add up to US$7.0/bbl on top of the current crude oil price as refineries will need more oil to maximize middle distillate production

Hi falklandinvestor,

This might be of interest to you while we all wait.
https://bakingwithgranny.co.uk/recipe/mars-bar-slice/

Kurgan2.0,

Don't forget to post several times a day while you wait for a stock you have 'written off ' to go bust. Makes sense of course.

ArielArrow,

Do you agree with Nigoil that there is a 'boiler room' in progress ? I think some posters are genuine but there has been an orchestrated de ramp going on for some time all INMHO

On the RKH board if you believe it, I hope not but it might be true.
Hullbist Posts: 61
Price: 15.76 No Opinion
getting out whilst i still got enough for decent holiday bye Mon 21:01
well done you have all finally broke me new to this really but i cant take any more 27k down the drain over approx 6 years cant wait no longer
good luck anyone who stays in

Fibonacci112,
No apology needed, Olliesky's autocorrect changes me to Ausole..Now who'd of thought it. As you seem very knowledgeable in this area, do you know anything about Ben at K&S ?

ArielArrow,

laidback,
'I was forecasting $2.6bn
You don't know a mistype when you see one!' No but I know a deramp when I see one

How would a prediction of net debt reducing tie in with your calls of £1.20 ?

ralph2010,

I think in my original post I said a 'potential' $200m. Which you changed to £200m ( close to a $60m dollar mistake ) or nit picking as you call it. In my next post I mention the claim is a reported $275m which you change to a mere $275 ( which could be a even more costly mistake )
Your delightful post below
' ralph2010 RE: Zama Sale Sun 11:04
You really are a prat arent you. Claiming and getting $275 are 2 different things. A good chance of winning, but I doubt they will get the whole amount claimed. Thats my view so sod off '

Fibonacci112,
Thanks for you well reasoned post.
That sounds about right so somewhere around a 60-75% chance of success. As I said previously its been reported that the claim is $275m. I don't think anyone is invested here hoping for this amount to be going into RKHs coffers. My point was that there is a 'good'chance of an award, like I think there is a 'good' chance of UKEF, and a 'good' chance that Tony Durrant wants to press forward with Sealion.
King & Spalding secured an arbitration award – one of the largest ever rendered under the Energy Charter Treaty – on behalf of the clients in December 2013

ralph2010,
I originally stated $200+m ( thats US Dollars ) you seem to be able to copy that down alright but when you type it out yourself you put ' I am questioning the ~£200 million idea'

Are you quite sure its me that looks like a prat here ?

laidback,

I've told you 4 times already you mixed up dollars (in net debt) and added to pounds (in market cap) to get £4.8b Enterprise value ( which is wrong ). Now how about you tell us about another of your previous postings and how you get to your $3.6b debt in 6 months calculation ?

ralph2010,

A world leading Litigation funder is backing this case risking their own money, most likely at a cost of several £millions. A leading International Arbitration lawyer who specialises in Oil and Gas claims and has a great track record of winning hundreds of millions for clients in Oil and Gas cases, is claiming ( damages reported in media sources to be $275m )
Yet you state 'I wouldn't count those chickens' and 'I am questioning the £200m idea'
Are you quite sure its me who thinks I always know better ?

ralph2010,

One of the worlds top Litigation funders has bet a few million on a good outcome. Its not guaranteed but do you know better ?

Laidback,

All depends if you can work out the Enterprise Value correctly ?

Kurgan2.0,

Having put all this effort into de-ramping Rockhopper, I suspect you probably know a bit more about this story than you care to let on. Hypothetically speaking a farm down from RKH of say 15% of Sealion could net something like $60m to RKH Plus the $10m from sale of Egyptian assets and a potential $200+m from the Ombrina Mare Arbitration would set us up well for Sealion phase 1 development.