RE: Where is this heading8 Aug 2022 17:37
You would be a fool to take advice on this or any board. My feeling is that this is a good long term hold and that the stock is undervalued.
The issues my clients in airside related industries are currently experiencing are with staffing and capacity, rather than demand. My guess is that the same is true with EZY.
ON the plus side
1) They have changed the business and got rid of lots of fat during the last 2 years. They are more agile than they used to be so able to respond more quickly - if they can get the staff to man the flights. I don't think the staffing crisis will be resolved until next season.
2) They were hedged on fuel and the cost of fuel is coming down.
3) Load Capacity is reported to be very good.
4) Slots are being bought up which will give them growth.
5) Planes are new and efficient and much of the old fleet has been dumped
Downsides
1) Economy - UK is going to be bad and will impact EZY demographics more than other carriers. However, they may see some downgrading to EZY so that needs balancing
2) Debt - not crippling but with rates increasing it adds burden
My own target is £6.50.