Significant food for thought!24 Oct 2010 20:46
Whilst we all eagerly await the much anticipated and imminent drilling resultsof the Anne-Marie prospect, to be hopefully followed in time by those of the Lagavulin, North Uist/Cardhu and finally for the Corana Ridge/deep-water Atlantic margin, those of the Talisker prospect all of which, will hopefully be complemented and significantly enhanced by the on-going and corresponding drillbit successes which, FPM has and continues to enjoy on their Halton Terrace prospect, along with those of FPM's other Norwegian licence holdings, prior to hopefully moving onto what may yet hold FPM's greatest prize (contingent upon FPM's successful bidding and licence allocation) in respect of the potentially lucrative Greenland acreage. Please take a few moments to reflect upon the following significant information;
To the best of my knowledge, derived from significant research and through dialogue which, I have had with a senior employee of FPM's management team, together with representatives of FPM's brokers; Ambrian and Panmure Gordon, along with two highly reputable financial journalists, it is my belief that, (for reasons which I have been unable to quantify) FPM's BOD/Senior Management team have to date chosen to value the strategic/historic oil reserves of FPM at the significantly discounted rate of only $7.80 per/barrel, compared with an industry average of $15 per/barrel used by their 'industry competitors'.
Conclusion:
Clearly, the significant successes which, FPM has enjoyed and continues to achieve with the drillbit can only enhance the appropriate and exceptionaly high esteem in which FPM's Management Team/BOD are deservedly held both nationally and internationally, together with that of FPM's Market Capitalisation/Value. However, the implications of the above ultra-conservative reserve valuation methodology are, in my opinion, potentially equally detrimental to FPM's many Institutional and Private Investors alike. In addition to which, it is both damaging and cumulative in the context of determining FPM's 'on-going' true market value/capitalisation, (which in my opinion, requires to be maximised in the current climate of FPM having to potentialy defend itself against what may yet prove to be a 'DANA style' hostile and unwelcome take-over bid) and is an important issue which, the BOD/Management Team of FPM continue to overlook or ignore at both their own and their Institutional and Private Investors peril.
Good luck to all existing and prospective FPM shareholders.
Yours sincerely and without prejudice,
Arbitrage.