RE: Coronavirus7 Feb 2020 17:04
From your own link you provided..
"National Health Commission (NHC) of China
Asked at a press conference on February 4 what the current mortality rate (or case fatality rate, CFR) is, an official with China NHS said that [7]:
The formula they are using is: cumulative current total deaths / current confirmed cases. So, as of 24:00 on Feb. 3, the formula used was 425/20,438.
Based on this figure, the national mortality rate is 2.1% of confirmed cases.
There might be mild cases and other cases not reported."
Like I said, I trust expert epidemiologists more than your panic analysis.