RE: Bottom18 Aug 2023 12:10
Gettingthere67, rather than considering one IT in isolation, better to look at the broad market around the world as this may provide an explanation that is helpful. The world was impacted by lockdowns of varying levels that disrupted supply chains everywhere. Vaccination, and for many 3 doses required, has brought an end to the pandemic but variants remain and strains still cause death. The world began to emerfge from this so that only now is it pretty well back to the point in 2019 when Covid 19 broke out.
The war in Europe caused massive disruption to food production and oil and gas prices, which, co-incided with raising taxes to begin to pay for the containment of Covid. This war remains burdensome but help for Ukraine is necessary for broad peace. Inflation from the "easy money" days that basically propped up he housing market, banks and some infrastructure has come home to roost and the only tool really that is used is interest rates. This might (and I believe will yet) cause recession.
Interest rate rises put businesses that are struggling out of business quite quickly and this we are seeing with an increase in insolvency numbers. Recessions take out larger businesses that are reliant on turnover because margins are tiny. Any whiff of a rise in interest rate generally causes a flight of cash from equities to gilts to reduce risk.
Investing in fledgling companies has a greater risk than investing in a mature company. Mature companies are not immune from going bust - Marconi was a great example. The NAV might be correct but is discounted to reflect risk. And the assets that provide the valuation are in unquoted businesses, are illiquid and may not be able to raise additional capital. This affectss ability to exploit opportunity or weather storms such as recession etc.
Markets get carried away sometimes both when rising and if falling. Since an investment trust is different from an open ended fund, shares in the trust can be bought or sold. If you are worried about your holding, better to recover what you can and put the proceeds to better use elsewhere. But that is your decision and advice, however, well meaning from a board such as this might not be correct, appropriate or have any relevence to you and should really be ignored.