Member Info for Alansugareatyour

"The virus is getting weaker in the heat and humidity daily. "

Whys it so prevalent in India and South america, those places are a bit toasty.

"If you have antibodies you have a level of immunity which will be 'higher' than if you didn't have them. The only thing that is unclear is how strong that immunity is and how long it lasts. Also mass antibody testing will be needed to establish this and for calibration so that is part of what you do with the info as "

Thumbs up.

Puntastic CW, wish I wasn't so you could read this compliment.

Why so serious, it's a Sunday.

"Alansugar (lol) what is this you are writing? Do you have any knowledge of biology?"

Almost none whatsoever!

So what your saying is that a positive test showing antibodies just proves that you have a short term improved immunity, but still can be reinfected.

All a bit mehhh,

The consensus is that recovered people will have some level of protection for at least a few months. We don’t yet know how much protection or how long it will last. People who recover from coronavirus infections do so because their immune systems kick in and eliminate the virus, so they are immune at their point of recovery. But a 1990 study of other human coronaviruses found that people can be reinfected with the same virus a year later – although the second time around they didn’t get symptoms and were infectious for a shorter period.

So it isn’t safe to assume that you can’t catch or spread the coronavirus if you have already recovered from it,

Read more: https://www.newscientist.com/article/2244096-coronavirus-and-covid-19-your-questions-answered/#ixzz6PLwawCrM

"Lots of people have Covid 19 with zero symptoms
That is the surprise being talked about between NHS workers near me

Hence why we need more texting"

So if you get a test and it says you have had the virus. This does not mean you are immune to it again, does not mean your immunity is higher and does not mean you might not catch it again tomorrow, so what do you do with this info.

If the science changes to prove you have high immunity then game changer, but what do you personally do with this info at the moment?

Not sure why being infected when u work at a hospital would be surprising

"
Also a company isn’t valued at exactly the profit they earn a year, pharmas are usually valued at a 10-15 PE ratio. Obviously I doubt we’d receive the 10-15 ratio, so let’s use a conservative PE of 5, at £20mil per month profit (very low estimate), that’s £240mil in the year, £1.2billion valuation."

But how do you factor in the finite nature (in scale at least) of the covid sales?

”Looking at whats going on in the rest of the world, I can see their sales climbing even more now"

So you don't think they are already selling to production capacity?

"Probably the most stable/less volatile of all other covid stocks.
GDR/AVCT/NCYT for example.
They move every time i blink"

Eh, avct went from 200 to 125 or so. Ncyt went from 500 to 225 or so and this has went from 90 to low 50's a few days back.

They have all had a spike and smash back 40-50%, in an extremely short term.

Ain't much stability to be had in this lot.

Saying that, here and ncyt look good for the move up, especially if you got into ncyt today.

(And EUA, could be a golden goose or golden turd shorty)

Deas, I have seen what you have done. You don't understand inverted commas or how a quote works.

No need to apologise for your rudeness, but if you look at my post, I was quoting someone and replying below.

Now take a chill pill.

"
Alan you said as things stand this is no more than £2 per share, this is a correction."

I have not said any such thing.

And if I had done it would make my two buys at 235 and 222 which I have posted about twice just one hour ago seem very foolish.

"Alan - I think Deas was confusing you with the tool that thinks this is worth 200.."

Ok, it was a bizzare and overly aggressive response for someone with the same view as me as to the current price. I assumed he just couldn't read.

"Alan you’re also talking utter crap. A company that has done £120mil revenue in 3 months and looking to do £80mil this month at 50% EBITA is not worth £159mil, pull the other one or go and deramp elsewhere, it’s simple maths. AVCT is valued at £300mil with 0 revenue and 0 orders."

Did you even read my post.

I said it's dropped 55% which it has. I replied to a post that said it's a correction in SP. I said if it's a correction then it is overdone, which it most certainly is.

What's to disagree with? I believe we are both saying the shareprice is too low.

I think the fact that you are underwater is making you read incorrectly or something.

"
As things stand this is no more than a £2 share. What you're seeing is a correction. Past returns don't predict the future."

Well it's a c55% drop since mid may, even of a correction, it looks way overdone.

222 is the lowest I've seen mentioned I think. 235 and 222 for me, which seems ok. First target £3 for a top slice and run the rest of it goes to plan.

Bizzare, to think, £3 would have been horrendous a couple of weeks back, now it's almost a 40% uplift on today's buys.

Would be nice to get there quick.

A placing, with no debt, a 120m order book, more orders to come, cash in the bank and 50%+ ebida. Cant see it myself, would be bizzare

Just took another £1570 at 222p,