RE: SP9 Oct 2023 09:03
You lot are absolutely hilarious!
The bulls here are some of the most deranged bulletin board morons in the London market - which is saying something. Simms, the King of Wishful Thinking, pumps out one lot of keyboard diarrhoea then, when the price does the exact opposite of what he predicted, flips in the wind to retro fit a second ton of verbage to what has happened. Utterly clueless.
Then there's Cut n Paste Rob, reckons day traders are 'scum', but spends his day desperately monitoring his inbox for results from half a dozen google news searches to bolster his mistaken belief that he is such a hot stock operator (LTBH, natch) that it is only a matter of time before KEFI goes to 3p and he leaves bedsit land for ever to pick out the optional extras on his Ferrari.
Rob, this did not 'go up on facts and down on profit taking and rumour'. Look at the candlesticks! It went up when the telegram group herd piled in behind a couple of bits of recycled news and went down when the 0.7 placees from May sold a blizzard of confetti into that buying. It has been rangebound since the last placing! Plenty of Thursday's day traders are still here, spiked at 0.8 and locked in blood red, now creating a second potential overhang further up the curve if it ever gets there.
The fact is this will not re-rate unless the 'funding secure' RNS arrives. Any announcements until then to give succour to the disciples are just a waste of a grand.
Another fact is that nobody has the foggiest notion (and especially not you, Simms) whether that overhang of £6m+ at 0.7 is 10% cleared, 100% cleared or anywhere in between.
And the question nobody seems to want to take on, one that it is impossible for a bull to answer, will not go away.
Why, if this is going to re-rate "very imminently", has any and all buying above 0.6 been met by a stampede of sellers, big tranches of what can only be 0.7 placees? 300 million on Thursday apparently! Why are they so keen to get out, even at a loss before the latest round of telegram induced madness, if the price is going to be over 1p in a matter of weeks?
For what it's worth, like anyone not on the inside here I do not know if there is going to be a placing soon. If forced to state a view I would say Harry is not going to place this side of Christmas. If there are still May placees holding, they would have his head on a stick for raising another couple of million at 0.5.
But what the trading pattern is telling me for sure and for certain is that the 'funding secure' RNS is not coming this side of Christmas either.
As ever, time will tell.