RE: Investment case30 Mar 2024 09:16
This I found useful below.
Capita faced numerous cash drags in FY23, notably £20m in costs associated with a cyber incident, a £30m pension deficit contribution and a £20m increase in technology capex, which depressed the adjusted free cash outflow before disposals to £116m (£42.4m outflow in FY22). Despite these challenges, the implementation of a rigorous cost efficiency programme and the strategic divestment of non-core assets have the potential to fuel a turnaround. Some £160m of annualised cost savings are expected to be realised by mid-2025 (part reinvested for growth), aimed at bolstering a significant improvement in operating margins. As margins improve, shifting to faster-growing market segments with a more competitive cost base could catalyse a reduction in the valuation discount.
- The challenges highlighted has happened in 2023 and market has been punished for past events.
- the 'bear' points on the article is questionable. First, the company renewal dropped on price. Which was expected as the company is trying to win contracts with higher margin to be profitable rather than fulfilling contracts at lower margin that has been the problem of the past. Secondly, negative free cash flow is covering cost of saving £100m. The majority of this outflow is covered by the payment received from fera which wasnt covered in 2023 accounts. But the cost saving of £160m is long terms benefit. Thirdly, it mentioned cyberattack. This technically applies to every company. The cost again has been factored into 2023 accounts.
The lowest price one analyst have set is 18p. And another 23p? And ones nofear found are way above that. So at 13p. With no pension payments from 2025 onwards, £160m cost saving, margin improvement and in tech space thats being digitalised and AI implementation. Future looks bright ? Imho
https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/capita-group-capitalising-on-a-more-streamlined-business
Imho