?2 price target31 May 2018 10:23
M&A to increase
Gold Production On The Cusp Of Peaking
05/29/2018
Authored by Tom Lewis via GoldTelegraph.com,
Gold is valuable because it is a finite resource. What happens when all
available gold is mined and processed? There is still abundant gold
deep within the earth, but it has not yet been found. Mining companies
are unable, to dig deep enough. It is difficult for them to know where to
locate this deep gold. All known locations have been depleting for
years.
That is the reason mining gold has become more difficult and output is
expected to begin decreasing steadily. The precious metal is becoming
harder to find.
Most of the world�s gold was mined before the 1848 Gold Rush era.
Since 1950, 125,000 tons of gold has been processed, which is
approximately two-thirds of all gold ever mined. All of the gold that
could be accessed easily has been mined.
Gold cannot be manufactured or created. It can only be mined from
the earth�s crust. If we want more gold, companies, and investors will
need to begin allocating more capital to exploration companies.
According Eugene King of Goldman Sachs, known mineable gold
reserve may be gone in 20 years. The definitive word here is �known.�
Gold mining companies are gearing up for a new era of exploration
deeper below the surface than ever before. This means these companies
will be incurring new costs at the same time their profits are decreasing.
That is the reason why so few new mines are being excavated and few
new projects are being started.
The earth�s easy-to-find gold has already been found and
mined. There will not be another California Gold Rush. The search for
new gold becomes increasingly challenging and expensive each year.
Outdated equipment and technology need to be replaced.
To add to the problem, the lead time between discovery and
production of a new gold deposit is 20 years. Much of this is due to
jurisdictional, local policies. Global reforms could remove many of the
current obstructions.
Mining companies are looking for new sources while using new
technology, but many are folding due to the expense involved. If this
trend continues, the finite nature of gold will ensure its price skyrockets.
Ian Telfer,Chairman of Goldcorp., indicates we have reached �peak gold�
as he states, �We�ve found it all.� He anticipates future gold production
to be lower than in the past. He sees all future gold mining as going as a
downhill venture. Mr. Telfer believes there is a good possibility that all
major sources of gold have already been found and mined. New grades
being extracted are declining in value. He predicts this situation could
drive the price of gold up to $1,600 by the end of the year from its current
price of around $1,300.
In 2015, Goldcorp. produced 3.4 million ounces of gold. In 2016, the
amount fell to 2.8 million. In 2017, its gold production fell to 2.5 million
ounces.