RE: Filo deal values Solgold at 154p.26 Feb 2025 11:44
Fort - Yes, I think the 50p bid by BHP was known by a few as Norges and Blackrock were greedily buying stock up at 36p+. Then came the apparent switch and BHP opted for Oz Minerals. Thereafter, there seemed to be a complete panic and rethink at SOLG as we saw Darryl booted, Bob and his buddies move in aka CGP merger. The rest is history.
Had BHP made a 50p offer, I do wonder whether they would have ended up needing to up it higher as first bid rarely wins. So say 60p? Then that was based on just 85% of Alpala/ENSA. So there's a 15% asset worth to factor in. Then there's the rest of the SOLG folio which seems to have not been included. So in a nut shell, the house brokers target of (77p at the time I think) was about right. But that was a long time ago when metal prices were way way lower. And Alpala / ENSA was fragmented and not 100% owned. It did include $150m royalty with Franco although BHP could have bought haf of that back.
So all in all, their offer years ago supports the valuation of 75p+ today.
Do you not agree?
Yes i agree with that, i have always said 70-100p is about right and could be a realistic buy out price. Worst case scenario 50p per share. IMO of course