Member Info for adoubleuk

Ricfle,

"As the PBLJ options were for GWA, why did Dr T mention drilling Halifax as a possibility in his latest interview with Malcy? Indeed, why book a second rig when you do not require the first?"

"Questions, questions, questions, flooding through the mind of the concerned young person today"...

See http://wiki.killuglyradio.com/wiki/Call_Any_Vegetable_(1971_-_Los_Angeles)

Or even better, 'stream' it and turn up the volume. Through the best-quality headphones you can find. Or even better, loudspeakers, and annoy the neighbours.

Ricfle,

"I tend to agree with Morgan Stanley, who are saying the EPS proves up Lancaster only, giving Hurricane 524m barrels of 2P. "

Folk Morgan Stanley. They are just repeating what the company itself has been saying. Or rather, Hurricane has never stated otherwise. The rest has just been inferred by others. They're perfectly logical inferences of course, but remain speculative and conjectural for now.

So it becomes a sort of 'belief system', but which shouldn't be confused with 'faith'. One can do one's own research, sometimes bolstered with personal expertise. Which may strengthen one's belief that if the thing looks like a duck, walks like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it's probably not a Manta-Ray.

I think this is where some people get confused and misled regarding things like mining and O&G, compared with 'manufacturing' stocks. In 'manufacturing', it's a question of 'if we can get such-and-such materials at a certain cost, we can turn them into something new and thus make a profit'. Whereas O&G is going to look for such materials, and hoping that the estimates of the quantities to be 'mined' live up to expectations.

You can't 'magic up' something which isn't there. That 15,000 bll/day DST flare wasn't diesel...

Corral-Part,

"Adam Curtis is a kook. A sophisticated one, but a kook nonetheless "

Your remark, in the context of the documentary film to which SlowRoll directed us, finally made me turn to the net, wrongopedia, etc., to get some proper (?) definition of a 'kook'. Because you seem to use it in a rather derogatory sense.

I never knew it came from the odd world of surfers! Who to my mind are fairly 'kooky' themselves! (imho, of course.)

No, I thought that documentary film was brilliant, and there's some astounding footage involved (if you've got a strong stomach and are prepared to watch some of the total madness and mayhem that happens in the world daily). Sobering stuff, so I advise buying a six-pack beforehand. I got through half of mine during the two hours viewing...

I'd like to see a brought-up-to-date version ('cos it's from 2015) expanding further from the region. By the same 'kook'.

Corral-Part,

"Adam Curtis is a kook. A sophisticated one, but a kook nonetheless "

Your remark, in the context of the documentary film to which SlowRoll directed us, finally made me turn to the net, wrongopedia, etc., to get some proper (?) definition of a 'kook'. Because you seem to use it in a rather derogatory sense.

I never knew it c

IJWT (and Biffa),

" However, it may come down to something RT said (I think at the AGM) which was along the lines of during the first 12-months of the EPS there would be no drilling on Lancaster is it could interfere with the results they are trying to determine as a data set. Given the potential for connection, they may be shy about drilling Lancaster also but why not come out and say so."

Essentially, and looking at the recent presentation, I think 'they have come out and said so'!

I can fully understand why there will be no drilling on Lancaster itself during the initial data-gathering phase of EPS. Despite the well-pressures being mind-boggling to the 'layman' (1200 psi or so), the data-gathering involves seeing how the two wells are 'talking to each other', and that might be in increments of 10 psi or so. Not sure what margins of error are built-in to the instrumentation at work. But probably of that order. And having a well being drilled nearby could skew those figures.

But again, if the 'connection conjecture' just happens to be true, even doing something on Halifax during those early months could have an effect, despite the 35 km distance. Pressure is a funny thing. It transmits over huge distances, and of course the denser the medium, the faster it travels. Hey! Today where I live has been grey, gloomy and raining. Stick-one's-head-in-the-gas-oven weather. With occasional thunderstorms. And being a rather odd sort of person, whenever I see a flash of lightning, I satrt counting the seconds until I hear the thunder. Then I know how far away the lightning struck, approximately. It's a habit. But what am I actually 'hearing'? It's a transmitted pressure-wave carried through the air.

OK, I'm rambling... But I think I can see why Hurricane doesn't want to do any GLA drilling in the near future.

So as a corollary, one can only deduce that the PBLJ options were probably for GWA, anyway. Which will now be done by the TO Leader. I've been keeping my eye open for the TO fleet status report to be published, but it's still not out yet. Could be in the upcoming week. But my bet is that the PBLJ options have been shelved, the rig will quite possibly go into dock instead, and the Leader contract will have superceded the options. At no 'cancellation cost'.

Divecentre,

"Diesel capacity is 3106 cubic metres but no info is given on gas storage capacity."

I'm afraid you're getting the wrong end of the stick here. The boat isn't made to run on LNG. The GT's will be used for power-provision once commissioned, running on gas produced from the Lancaster reservoir. For this voyage and during the commissioning process she'll be running on diesel. And her fuel tanks hold quite enough of that stuff to get her to Rotterdam without needing a top-up.

Slowroll,

Thanks a million for the link to that documentary. I've just watched it start to finish.

JayKay,

Yes, the AM is equipped with turbine generators to run on gas, with the diesels kept in reserve for the event of well shutins, etc..

Regarding possible stops in transit, remember that when initially built, the vessel sailed from Singapore to Rotterdam via Suez under her own power, and that's a far longer distance than this trip. And from what research I've been able to do about that voyage, I've found no mention of there having been any stopovers.

SXX,

"Another innocent question... Pretty sure Dr T said it needed max 3 metre waves (or might have been swell) for 6 hours to hook up to the buoy...Would this need to be in daylight/some daylight or could it be in complete darkness?"

An answer given with the qualification that I have no personal experience of such an operation:

But NO. I can see no reason for it having to take place during 'daylight hours'. They will take the 'window of opportunity' when it happens. None of the 'hookup' requires daylight, and as it's such a critical, 'crux' thing, evreyone involved will be working regardless of the hour...

SiPP, Jaykay,

"That's it JayKay! I've had enough of you! You and me, outside, after the AGM next year! Well, the three of us. You, me and my trainers!"

May a man in a Stetson hat be allowed to ejudicate this duel?

It could be used as a good occasion to lay to bed an old wager which was never finalised about whether the FPSO would sail under her own steam or not from Dubai.

My fai and doddery memory seems to recall that said non-wager was with someone who post as Bed N Breakfast. But I may be wrong. BNB might have been an acronym for something else.

Either way, the way that moth****er Aoka Mizu shifts about, a tug would have a hard time keeping up.

Crop circles... Now under the control of hyper-intelligent ultrabeings...

JiffyBag,

"What is the likelihood of an RNS, upon successful completion of the AM Sea Trials?"

The CEO has said there will be an RNS upon sailaway from Dubai.

MUAS,

"This trained my thoughts to our Resident Water Refuter "

HaHa. Glad to see from the description you then gave, you weren't referring to me! But you might as well have been.

The important point about the water production on Nelson in the programme you saw is the age of the wells. Which have been in production for 24 years, by the way, not 20. Nelson is a 'conventional' reservoir, and water-breakthrough is inevitable at some point in the field's life. And once that starts, it's very difficult to mitigate, especially if water is being re-injected to provide pressure support.

When water breakthrough happens is very much a function of 'reservoir management', which can be simply expressed as the rate of production the wells are allowed to give. Choke the wells in to a minimal flowrate, and you can postpone breakthrough significantly, but these projects cost megabucks, so you cant run them commercially if you've choked the wells down to a few hundred bbl/day!

As regards Fractured Basement (like GLA), it must be recalled that it was only beginning to be specifically targeted from about the mid-80's onward. And in those early days, a lot of things weren't understood. There's a learning-curve involved. And water breakthrough WAS a problem. And to tackle it as though FB were 'conventional' doesn't work. Also certain drilling techniques n now used an which which help mitigation simply didn't exist back then.

Ultimately, water breakthrough is liable to occur on GLA. Anyone who claims otherwise is a fool. But if it's ten years further on up the road, who amongst current HUR investors here cares? It'll be someone else's problem.

So I'm not a 'water refuter' as you call it. But I do argue with people who don't trust Dr T when he says he doesn't expect water to be any sort of issue within the first 3 years of EPS production.

gary,

"Its just trader RB of CA off loading his holding on the open market."

Is there any proof of this?

I for one would be happy if it is CA doing the selling.

topteam,

"Why not transfer by helicopter on a vessel less than 5 miles from land..... Just maybe cost .......... Most likely quiet a few personnel onboard from the Dubai dockyard."

I've been reading this thread with some amusement, and although having posted earlier saying I wouldn't give my reasons for thinking (OPINION ONLY) she'll go back to dock, I'd like to give one (maybe longwinded as usual) one.

Successful sea-trials is just the final phase before sign-off between DDW and Bluewater (and Hurricane). It's been a major project for DDW. Lots of money, lots of time. Plus lots of 'prestige' for everyone. So it's not a matter of 'just cost', but also safety. Boat-to-boat'? Huh? You think the trials team are going to do that? A chopper? C'mon.

Plus more to the point, I doubt she's yet completely storaged-up nor crewed-up for the transit. Bluewater won't do that until they're ready to sail. And it's THEIR baby, not Hurricane's yet.

OK, maybe she didn't go out to sea until a few days after the end of September. But what's a few days given the overall scope of work? Plus probably there will be a sort of 'sailaway ceremony' with people from Bluewater, DDW and HUR all on video, shaking hands and drinking diet coke (until they're back in their hotels, that is).

No rush. The company has all the time said Foil in Q2 2019. Which doesn't end until eight and a half month's' time, according to my calendar.

Think of it like buying an expensive car. Or rather, an expensive restored classic car. It's ready. What do you do? Take it out for a drive, check that it's all OK. Then you drive back to the garage, and if it is OK, that's when you sign the cheque, accept the glass of bubbly, and motor off. You don't just drop off the sales-manager in the woodlands after the test-drive.

Of course she'll go back to post.

HappyToLearn,

I'm unhappy to learn your news, because you're one of the 'good' posters here.

So wish you all the best, as you've decided to go down the 'medical' pathway, which is one which will take up time otherwise spent posting!

Bon courage... Of course you'll see FoiL!

More...

Of course, this doesn't mean the AM will have dropped an anchor. Probably just sitting there on DP 'til sunrise or whenever to let the sea-trials team get some kip.

SiPP,

"The destination has been set to Dubai Anch several times, which I'm guessing is (at) anchor, since each time, she has moored in the area of the sea trials."

Correct. You'll often see this 'ANCH' suffix to a destination-name, be it Dubai or Aberdeen. It means 'Anchorage Zone'.

yuyus,

"Is The Helideck commissioned"

I feel sure that this will have been fully certificated before even leaving the quay. And 'commissioning' a helideck doesn't involve actually landing a helicopter on it.

I know about this stuff first-hand.

I could tell a hilarious story about 'importing' a jackup into Nigerian waters and when the chopper landed one of the officials asked why we didn't have helideck netting. And it was pointed out that this was a jackup, so once in position we were considered a 'platform' so didn't need one per regulations.... Except we were still under tow, and moving around in the swell.... Still didn't need one, they could have come by boat.... Had to pull out lots of paperwork to prove it.

A long story, much argey-bargey, sorted out with a freeby baseball-cap and no doubt a brown envelope when the 'officials' got back to land.

SXX,

"Innocent question:Is it likely that AM will need to return to dock,or if all tests successful and signed off simply head for Rotterdam without further ado?"

Without listing the reasons I believe so, it's my OPINION that the boat will return to dock, maybe for a few days. And that if we see her doing so, it'll be no reason to start thinking that there have been problems with sea-trials nor anything of that nature...