The latest Investing Matters Podcast with Jean Roche, Co-Manager of Schroder UK Mid Cap Investment Trust has just been released. Listen here.
LEK, I think HOC still has legs but not in. GFM - I am in but I think it may get pulled back under that big descending trend line it is currently just above. Having said that, the gold price is whizzing along. I did hear someone say that above a close of $1250 it may start to motor? Anyone reading here have a good handle of where gold is; should be; wants to be etc. Would appreciate any thoughts on it. Thanks in advance.
LEK, HOC. It has got ahead of itself a bit and starting to get too far away from the T line. Would think an 8 to 10% retrace first and then carry on up. http://rt6.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/display_chartimage.phtml?name=2navyyzk9roqohfy0io8338fl&type=png&purpose=share_google
Lek, when you say you use the charts on IG are you referring to the use of PRT charting software under the IG tools section? If in case that is correct I wanted to ask someone regarding this use of PRT with IG. When I open PRT with both the IG spreadbetting and CFD accounts the data that they use is far less and therefore far less accurate i.e. candles are very different in the IG PRT format compared to using PRT.com. When I asked PRT.com about this they said that this was because PRT.com gets its data directly from the markets and pays alot for them whereas IG knowingly uses a less accurate version of PRT, although all technical issues arising while using PRT software via IG are dealth with by the PRT team. However, I also pay for real time data with IG in order to get a greater data stream but my PRT charts have not improved. Have I just not linked the two or do other people notice this issue?
PNS - Panther Securities. I was reading about another company getting an award from International M&A and came across this company in the brochure. "Panther Securities PLC is a property investment company that is listed on the Alternative Investment Market (AIM). We own and manage over 750 individual property units within approximately 125 separately designated buildings over the mainland United Kingdom." Accounts are very solid and seems a regular good profit with v good GM's (seems about half of turnover is pre tax profit (Shan will have to see if I am missing anything obvious) (Also Shan, the bb has never had anyone post there and I seem to remember you enjoying your milestone posts on Rid's GC page back when). The graph is at a good point for jumping on but needs to get past a resistance line first I think. There are only 17M shares (and bosses own about 5M. I have not checked major shareholders). The graph is quite jerky I would hv thought a buy at a low of 349 looks good which is the current sell price. Could go lower. I have not bought in yet so don't go spoiling the graph. Comments welcome: http://rt6.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/display_chartimage.phtml?name=9ebv4y107vcyqux1vdk8wnp0w&type=png&purpose=share_google
BT.A I wrote this over the Easter Weekend for someone not on LSE ..... I am now adding on another graph underneath as a continuation of the evolving story. Next few days will be very interesting. BT GROUP (BT.A) This chart shows that not since October 2008 has the SP ended outside these fairly narrow trend boundaries: http://rt6.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/display_chartimage.phtml?name=mddat3brkj8w2foicu0pr98tm&type=png&purpose=share_google So if the trend is to remain pristine, once the markets open after Easter Monday, the SP has 3 days to rise from 433 to 455. Approximately just under 2% per day. If the SP did not finish @ 455 or above at the end of March it would suggest that the share was indeed in a downward trend, as indicated on the chart. If that was the case then one could go long as soon as it turned back up into the descending green channel and then short as it reached the top of the descending channel. This chart shows this on a daily chart: http://rt6.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/display_chartimage.phtml?name=syv9b30hopzqn0b149dk8t44d&type=png&purpose=share_google It is also worth noting that if it goes back into the ascending channel, then the peak is not at the yearly trend line of 574 that a lot of people are touting as the top of this graph for the moment (in current global climate but more importantly that Openreach staying as is more or less; EE already factored in; Sport and TV already factored in. Those three things are about the pipeline for the foreseeable future). The top of the chart then continues to 617. In a descending channel, one would have to go with 337 as a bounce area as it was the peak of the last cycle in June 2007: http://rt6.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/display_chartimage.phtml?name=svnszhnyti87uq4p2h2bcu0qa&type=png&purpose=share_google ++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ an updated chart taken at COB today: http://rt7.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/display_chartimage.phtml?name=ihn9hrsrftrqtkh6l4esnkj6l&type=png&purpose=share_google One more day to go to and it has to (!) finish at 455.
LEF, the webinar company said it was going to send me a link to watch the recording of the live webinar from last Saturday which they never did. Is there a way to post that here as I would love to have them available to watch when I had the time. Much appreciated.
LEF, thought you would like to see this CPX graph. Ignore my lines. I know. (but if you don't want to ignore them - black is yearly trend; green monthly; red weekly; yellow daily. I think they help but as you said before you have to find a system that works for you) http://rt7.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/display_chartimage.phtml?name=oi0dgk8moj7qzi857zft4eq9v&type=png&purpose=share_google This is not a plug, I just thought it was a thing of beauty!
LEF, Thanks for your thoughts. It is the tricky thing over using the T line. If you go up and down the time scales, you can find a graph to suit your assessment. My own thoughts are: http://rt7.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/display_chartimage.phtml?name=bjthqy07qo7p6ssgfvvrp7xa7&type=png&purpose=share_google
Candlesticks, like every data set out there, can either prove or disprove your theories with ease and probably do both in the same breath if required. The following was chosen from RIO. When a rise with EMA8 higher than EMA3 is momentarily crossed and then uncrossed, there often seems to be a corresponding jump. Some of the circles end with a red candle coming back down but at the time they started as a gap up: http://rt6.t.prorealtime.com/ProRealTimeNew/display_chartimage.phtml?name=bpoctu3yle6dbwq2fs0qjpkgf&type=png&purpose=share_google
LEF, I have registered for the webinar but I cannot sit throughout the entire Saturday listening (while the world crumbles around me). Can you point me to where one can opt to receive the recording instead of the live cast? Thanks in advance. I have been going through some historic charts to look at the relationship between the EMA 8 & 3. BT.A on an hourly chart has about 5 years of upward trending, so plenty of data! The further apart the EMA lines the more the trend continues. As soon as the lines come together the more volatile the candles become. Sometimes the lines cross briefly (from EMA8 uppermost to a blip of EMA3 becoming uppermost) which seems to be followed by a gap up. I think this could be very significant but needs further chart validation. Also seems that if EMA8 is uppermost then the rise is longer and more sustained but also needs more validation.