Member Info for 2reincarnated

Thanks for your post, I think you are right about a second dip in markets thus summer. I personally think we will see a dip within a few weeks and a lot of shares will not recover from that dip, only for there to be another dip in the Autumn. I think what we saw in March after the dip was a recovery in a lot of shares, simply for the sake of a recovery. Stobart Group falls into that category, how on earth did it rise from 28p to 65? To that effect we may see a dip like you say, only thus time Stobart will not " join in on the rally"

This company and Halfords are "chalk and cheese." Halfords received a boost that is not sustainable, it fell to 50p for a reason. Melrose is operating in a global environment, unlike Halfords. The global economy has a huge effect on Melrose, when you get a global slowdown, Melrose will suffer.

Night Watch- 2 of the stocks you mentioned are retail, most on this BB would appreciate it is ok to suggest retail is going downhill in instances where the company concerned is not " reinventing itself". Another company you mentioned is Aviation related which will decline when you talk in terms of flights resuming soon with social distances meaning jets will travel with reduced capacity in other words flights which should carry 300 odd people will carry less, what's will that do to profits and SP? The other company you mentioned needs to pack its buses to make money, but social distancing will mean they again will for the forced to reduce numbers, that will hit profits and the SP. WHY THEN IS IT WRONG TO FEEL THE SP WILL FALL?

Soon.

It has a funny way of showing it!! On days like today, in reference to the UK market following the DOW, the SP should be flying. It is not and that can only mean it has " run out of steam."
It is hardly surprising, as Business will remain depressed for a long while after lockdown and the sector as a whole will suffer as a result of the global slowdown that is to follow.
It must be appreciated, emerging economies are going to be hit hardest, but they are the ones that have helped boost the sector in the past. Another factor will be oil exporting nations will not be throwing money around like they use to, given the low oil price.
All this will impact on the SP, I feel it will hit £1.50 longer term, but the first recovery point will be close to the level it plunged to in the first place, 72p.
I therefore reiterate we are heading to 50p, other companies like Senior which fell to 45p will revisit this low too.

Even with all these extra contract wins. Like I said before the Markets are due a correction and Capita will take a battering.

Another " functional " poster" after trenners, one of a few on this " Mary poppins inspired BB"

Cannot see how it ever rose from 28p to 65p, heading down now, below 28p.

I must add you make good honest points yourself and highlight that wishful thinking will get us nowhere. We must appreciate Capita fell to 20p for a reason and if the reason was poor market sentiment, it would have recovered to 60p by now. It hasn't because the road to recovery is going to be slow.

This company will come good, but will only recover from a far lower point. Sooner or later it will be sub 20p. It looked like breaking 40p a few days ago, now it looks like breaching 30p. This is all in the absence of a huge fall on the US markets that is due. You only need to see what the Dow is doing if late, it' dropping of from its futures which always only means it has reached its peak.
The Coronavirus fading away and even a Vaccine is already factored in, the US is better placed to deal with huge debt than the Uk Capita will suffer from the recession.

How low can this go? Because I feel it can recover, but from where?

But where is that cash coming from? "Bond debt" I know is cheap for the US, but it just so turns out the largest"hoarder" is China and the Gulf States are suffering from low oil prices, so there is a limit to US gov debt which like any debt has to be paid back.
I cannot see 30,000 with a Vaccine because a Vaccine is to an extent factored in, the other problem is huge unemployment and low oil prices. The extra revenue from the Shale revolution helped propel the Dow to it's high earlier, but Shale oil is not coming back whilst oil is below $80 that is something Incannot see for 2-3 years.

Correct it was a " double bottom" I hope and know it will hit 50p. However, it won't reach that until the Dow and FTSE themselves have found this " double bottom." Once we reach this point it will hit 50p, I hope I'm wrong, but I don't think we will see a floor until past Autumn. Look at the ridiculous situation of the FTSE some companies in trouble have SP's that don't reflect the gravity of the difficulties that lie ahead.

Yes retail is in trouble and needs to " reinvent itself." But the SP has simply not doubled like you would expect it to. Looking at the Likes of Halfords and Kingfisher, yes they are different companies, but retail nonetheless. Could this hit 50p?

You will see Capita below 20p again.

The SP will plunge because of the timetable to profitability, social distancing on buses? reduced numbers, until a vaccine is found.

don't you get a bit lonely on "your BB"

looks like you are sitting on a big loss? do you know the best way to recover losses, is buy more. In this case wait on the sidlines until September ish and these will be going for 50p.

This is a solid company, but we must appreciate it is being hit on 2 fronts i.e. Coronavirus and Brexit. It must be appreciated from the start of the market falls in March it was always going to be "survival of the fittest" in other words companies with low debt were going to survive and recover.
We must appreciate, we on this BB are " small fish in a bid pond" the people who took this to 72p didn't do so because they like making 100% losses, rather they did it because they knew it was going back to that point. The 72p represents the " recovery SP" in other words the price to which the SP will recover to short term and the £1 price reached recently tells you what the SP is going to be in a year or so from now. From £1 this will hit £1.50 or even £2 very quickly. Like I said this could go as low as 50p before it recovers to over 70p.

Why don't you post once and say what you want to say? Why do you need to post on half a dozen consecutive occasions ?