RE: Dart group26 Sep 2019 19:50
ii.co.uk
How Dart Group turned our analyst a 31% profit in two weeks - Analysis & Commentary
In a case of great timing and luck, backing this well-run travel operator was a stroke of genius.
A couple of weeks ago, our companies analyst and long-time fan of travel operator Dart Group (LSE:DTG), Richard Beddard, reminded us why he has an army of followers and why you reject ‘value’ investing at your peril.
Published on Friday 6 September, Dart Group's share price had traded as low as 710.5p, closing the day at 737.5p. But on 23 September, the day Thomas Cook went bust, the shares peaked at 933p for 31% gain.
The bull case for Dart looks pretty clear to me
In his original article, Richard talked about "a growing business that has been getting better at making money" and whose shares are "cheap and should be a good investment over the long term."
"I didn't even mention the prospect of Thomas Cook (LSE:TCG) folding, which is surely why everyone has suddenly picked up the shares :-)
"The whole Thomas Cook thing has been a revelation," says Richard. "TUI (LSE:TUI) has had to cancel holidays because it used Thomas Cook's planes to fly people on TUI packages. Jet2 only uses its own planes. Unlike the rest of the world, it seems, I'm a big fan of vertical integration. On the Beach has come a cropper too, because it is having to rearrange packages using Thomas Cook flights."
"The other thing that surprises me is the press coverage, which talks a lot about TUI (dinosaur that has adapted better than Cook) and On the Beach (an example of the internet disruption that undid Cook), but almost completely ignores Jet2. It's like it is invisible.
"But the fact that Jet2 overtook Thomas Cook as the UK's second-biggest package tour operator a number of years ago (from a standing start in 2006!) surely was a huge factor in Thomas Cook's demise.
"I think its origins in the North are one of the reasons the City has routinely underestimated Dart, and perhaps caused competitors to underestimate it too."