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LONDON MARKET CLOSE: US jobs growth adds to flagging hopes on Fed cuts

Fri, 05th Apr 2024 16:55

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London closed firmly down on Friday, hit by concerns that the US Federal Reserve may cut interest rates later than hoped this year.

This sentiment was exacerbated by US jobs growth greatly beating expectations in March.

The FTSE 100 index closed 64.73 points, 0.8%, at 7,911.16. The FTSE 250 ended down 147.25 points, 0.7%, at 19,725.94, and the AIM All-Share closed down 2.53 points, or 0.3%, at 740.05.

The Cboe UK 100 ended down 0.9% at 790.22, the Cboe UK 250 closed down 0.9% at 17,145.88, and the Cboe Small Companies ended down 0.5% at 14,676.15.

US hiring smashed expectations in March, picking up pace from February, figures showed.

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, nonfarm payroll employment rose by 303,000 in March higher than the FXStreet-cited consensus of 200,000.

The figure for February was revised down by 5,000, from 275,000 to 270,000 while January's total was adjusted upwards by 27,000, from 229,000 to 256,000. This means employment in January and February combined was 22,000 higher than previously reported.

In March, job gains occurred in health care, government, and construction, the BLS said.

In March, average hourly earnings for all employees on private nonfarm payrolls increased by 0.3% to USD34.69. Over the past 12 months, average hourly earnings have increased by 4.1%, in line with expectations.

The unemployment rate in March at 3.8% edged down from 3.9% in February.

"With next week's inflation likely to remain hot, the prospect of a June rate cut from the Fed looks slim. Nonetheless, with business surveys universally pointing to weakness over the next three-to-six months we do expect to see more evidence of cooling by the summer," said ING analyst James Knightley.

Confidence in three rate cuts from the Federal Reserve this year, beginning in June, is being tested by a string of recent data indicating the US economy remains in rude health, while bank officials have done little to soothe concerns.

Minneapolis Fed chief Neel Kashkari said Thursday that there was a chance of no reductions this year, calling inflation figures in January and February "a little bit concerning" and adding that he wanted to see more positive data.

His Philadelphia counterpart Patrick Harker warned prices were still rising too sharply and that "we're not where we need to be", while Richmond boss Thomas Barkin called it "smart" to take time to get a clearer idea about the path for inflation.

On Wednesday, the chair of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell told a conference in California that the current risks to the US economy were "two-sided," with negative consequences for the economy if policymakers moved to cut rates too fast or too slow.

Stocks in New York were higher at the London equities close, with the DJIA up 0.6%, the S&P 500 index up 0.9%, and the Nasdaq Composite up 1.0%.

The pound was quoted at USD1.2621 at the London equities close on Friday in London, down from USD1.2667 late Thursday. The euro fell to USD1.0831 from USD1.0865. Against the yen, the dollar fell to JPY151.54 from JPY151.67.

The UK construction sector returned to growth in March, ending a six-month period of decline, figures showed.

The S&P Global UK construction PMI rose to 50.2 in March from 49.7 in February, above the FXStreet market consensus of 50.0 points.

Any reading above 50.0 indicates an overall expansion of construction output. Although signalling only a fractional rise in business activity, the index was at its highest level since August 2023.

Annual growth in UK house prices slowed last month, and they went back into decline on a monthly basis, numbers from mortgage lender Halifax showed.

UK house price growth ebbed to 0.3% year-on-year in March, Halifax said, from a 1.6% hike in February.

Prices fell 1.0% in March from February, having risen 0.3% in February from January. It was the first monthly fall since September, while the annual reading was the tamest since November.

In European equities on Friday, the CAC 40 in Paris lost 1.2%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt declined 1.3%.

The eurozone construction sector remained firmly in contraction territory in March as activity fell sharply again according to latest figures from S&P Global.

The Hamburg Commercial Bank eurozone construction PMI total activity index eased to 42.4 points in March, down from 42.9 points in February and still below the 50.0 no-change mark separating growth from contraction.

S&P Global said the decrease in output continued to be driven by substantial contractions in housing activity, which was once again the worst-performing of the three monitored segments.

A barrel of Brent oil fetched USD91.31 at the London equities close on Friday, up from USD89.13 on Thursday.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has threatened consequences in the event of an Iranian attack on his country.

"Iran has been acting against us for years, both directly and through its proxies; that is why Israel is taking action against Iran and its proxies, defensively and offensively," Netanyahu said at the start of a meeting of the Israeli security cabinet on Thursday evening, his office announced.

"We will know how to defend ourselves and we will act according to the simple principle: Whoever harms us or plans to harm us, we will harm them," Netanyahu said.

The Israeli government and its ally the US are concerned that Iran is preparing for an imminent attack, the news portal Axios quoted US and Israeli officials as saying.

In London's FTSE 100, Shell rose 0.6%, after the oil major cautioned results from its Integrated Gas division in the first-quarter are expected to be "significantly lower" than in the fourth, and said it expects write-offs worth USD600 million in its Upstream arm.

The London-based firm expects Integrated Gas adjusted earnings before tax and depreciation between USD1.2 billion and USD1.6 billion.

"Trading & optimisation results are expected to be strong, but significantly lower than an exceptional Q4," it commented.

In Upstream, Shell warned of USD600 million in exploration well write-offs, largely in Albania. It expects adjusted earnings before tax and depreciation between USD2.7 billion and USD3.1 billion.

Elsewhere, in Chemicals & Products, "trading & optimisation is expected to be significantly higher" than a quarter earlier. For this division, Shell predicts adjusted earnings before tax and depreciation between USD0.8 billion and USD1.0 billion.

Elsewhere in London, AIM-listed Steppe Cement fell 17%. The Kazakhstan-focused cement producer said it sold KZT3.78 billion, around USD8.4 million worth of cement in the first-quarter, down 23% from a year prior.

"Steppe Cement's market share decreased to 11.5% in the first quarter of 2024 compared with 12.7% in the first quarter of 2023," it added.

"Transportation costs have increased significantly and shipments to the southern region of Kazakhstan result in low margins. The cement market in winter is comparatively small in the northern regions of Kazakhstan compared with the summer season, and therefore the company, which has been operating at full efficiency over the quarter, has chosen to build up clinker inventory in preparation of the summer season, rather than make sales at depressed prices."

The company also announced a proposed capital return of 1.5 pence per share, through a capital reduction. The proposal is subject to shareholder approval at an April 26 extraordinary general meeting.

Gold was quoted at USD2,325.89 an ounce on Friday at the London equities close, up from USD2,292.67 late Thursday.

In Monday's UK corporate calendar, Ferrexpo releases a trading statement.

The economic calendar for next week has consumer and producer price inflation data for the US out on Wednesday and Thursday respectively, while inflation figures for China and the latest European Central Bank interest rate decision are also out on Thursday. On Friday, German CPI is out, alongside UK gross domestic product data.

By Greg Rosenvinge, Alliance News senior reporter

Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com

Copyright 2024 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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5 Apr 2024 11:37

Steppe Cement reports lower production, revenue in first quarter

(Sharecast News) - Steppe Cement said in an update on Friday that in the first quarter of 2024, it sold 175,383 tonnes of cement, generating KZT 3.78bn (£6.69m) in revenue.

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5 Apr 2024 10:18

Steppe Cement shares down after disappointing first quarter sales

(Alliance News) - Steppe Cement Ltd shares sank on Friday, as the company reported a downturn in its Kazakhstani operations and announced a shareholder return program.

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5 Apr 2024 09:35

AIM WINNERS & LOSERS: Gelion charges higher; Steppe Cement slumps

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5 Apr 2024 08:47

LONDON MARKET OPEN: Europe slumps on US rate worry and rising tensions

(Alliance News) - Stocks in Europe had a downbeat start to the day on Friday, with investors unnerved by rising geopolitical tensions and hawkish remarks from US central bankers.

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12 Jan 2024 10:40

IN BRIEF: Steppe Cement annual revenue falls on lower sales and prices

Steppe Cement Ltd - Malaysia-based Kazakhstan-focused cement producer - Says revenue in 2023 was KZT37.29 billion, around USD82 million, down 7.2% from KZT40.20 billion the year before. This was due to lower sales volumes, which fell year-on-year to around 1.6 million tonnes in 2023. Average price for delivered cement was KZT22,927 per tonne, down 4.3% from KZT23,963 per tonne achieved in 2022. Adds 2023 cement market consumption in Kazakhstan was 11.5 million tonnes compared to 11.6 million the year prior, with Steppe's local market share being 14.2% compared to 14.5% year-on-year.

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12 Jan 2024 10:36

Steppe Cement revenues fall as volumes and prices decline

(Sharecast News) - AIM-traded Kazakh cement producer said it expects to report lower revenues for 2023 as average prices and volumes both declined year-on-year, while inflation is continuing to hold back bottom-line progress.

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13 Dec 2023 21:56

IN BRIEF: Steppe Cement to review ways to return funds to shareholders

Steppe Cement Ltd - Malaysia-based Kazakhstan-focused cement producer - Says new tax legislation in Malaysia, the Netherlands and Kazakhstan means its corporate structure is inefficient for making shareholder returns. Says it is therefore reviewing other ways to distribute value to shareholders. Notes that it said it would pay a dividend between 2 pence and 3p in July last year.

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11 Oct 2023 11:56

Steppe Cement eyes weaker profit due to lower prices in 2023

(Alliance News) - Steppe Cement Ltd on Wednesday said it expects earnings in 2023 to be lower than in 2022 due to a lower pricing environment and the impact of inflation on energy and other input costs.

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19 Sep 2023 11:50

TRADING UPDATES: Maintel outlook promising; Good Energy revenue up

(Alliance News) - The following is a round-up of updates by London-listed companies, issued on Tuesday and not separately reported by Alliance News:

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AIM WINNERS & LOSERS: Fiinu plunges on loss of UK banking licence

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12 Jul 2023 09:11

Steppe Cement sells less cement at lower price in first-half

(Alliance News) - Steppe Cement Ltd on Wednesday said it sold less cement at a lower average price in the first half of 2023.

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5 Jul 2023 15:44

UK shareholder meetings calendar - next 7 days

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Peel Hunt LtdAGM
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Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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9 Jun 2023 20:12

TRADING UPDATES: Tintra in Rwandan push, Steepe Cement profit flat

(Alliance News) - The following is a round-up of updates by London-listed companies, issued on Friday and not separately reported by Alliance News:

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13 Apr 2023 12:44

IN BRIEF: Steppe Cement shares plunge as first quarter sales drop

Steppe Cement Ltd - Karaganda, Kazakhstan-based cement manufacturer - Sells 214,832 tonnes of cement for KZT4.94 billion, around GBP8.7 million, in the first quarter of 2023. In the same quarter of 2022, the company sold 281,968 tonnes of cement for KZT6.30 billion. This represents a 24% decline year-on-year in cement tonnes sold and a 21% year-on-year decline in the price of cement sold. Adds that its market share reduced to 13% in the quarter from 14% in the same quarter the year prior. Explains the fall in shipment came against a backdrop of increased interest rates and logistical issues arising from an overloading of the rail network. Currently estimates that Kazakhstan's cement market demand will reduce to between 10 million tonnes per year to 10.5 million tonnes per year, but adds there is a "high degree of uncertainty" regarding this due to the geopolitical situation.

Read more

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