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LONDON MARKET MIDDAY: BoE moves hawkishly and hikes by 50 basis points

Thu, 22nd Jun 2023 12:19

(Alliance News) - Stock prices in London were lower at midday on Thursday, while the pound struggled for direction, after the Bank of England acted more aggressively than initially expected, as it grapples with rampant UK inflation.

The BoE lifted UK interest rates by 50 basis points to 5.00% from 4.50% previously. The move was somewhat of a surprise, as a 25 basis point hike was largely expected. However, Wednesday's red-hot consumer price index data, which showed the UK's stubborn annual inflation rate remained at a red-hot 8.7% last month, put the half-point hike on the table.

The BoE has now hiked for 13 meetings in succession. It was one of the first major central banks to enact a rate lift in the current cycle, but the UK's sticky inflation rate means it may be among the last.

"If there were to be evidence of more persistent pressures, then further tightening in monetary policy would be required," the BoE said.

The FTSE 100 index was down 63.09 points, 0.8%, at 7,496.09. The FTSE 250 was down 124.88 points, 0.7%, at 18,446.57, and the AIM All-Share was down 5.01 points, 0.6%, at 777.61.

The Cboe UK 100 was down 0.8% at 747.79 and the Cboe UK 250 was down 0.6% at 16,187.70. Meanwhile, the Cboe Small Companies was up 0.2% at 13,804.97.

HYCM analyst Giles Coghlan said the "stakes have never been higher for Bank of England policymakers".

"The BoE is unlikely to clearly signpost how high rates will go at this stage, because the recent rapid pricing is disruptive for UK businesses and homeowners. However, investors should not rule out further hikes to come. Despite the stagflation and pain it will cause in the near-term, market expectations now see rates exceeding 6% in early 2024, and the threat of a recession looms more than ever," Coghlan added.

The pound initially spiked straight after the decision, rising as high as USD1.2830, from USD1.2727 at the London equities close on Wednesday. However, it then faded to USD1.2757 around 1215 BST.

The BoE's decision follows the Swiss National Bank raising its policy rate by 25 basis points to 1.75%, in a step down from the 50bp hike at its March meeting. The move was expected by the market, according to FXStreet-cited consensus.

The bank said the move was to "[counter] inflationary pressure", which it said has "increased again over the medium term".

Further rate hikes cannot be ruled out, the SNB added.

A similar rhetoric came from across the Atlantic. Fed chair Jerome Powell told a congressional hearing Wednesday that the US Federal Reserve expects to keep raising interest rates, though at a slower pace.

"Given how far we've come, it may make sense to move rates higher but to do so at a more moderate pace," Powell told the House Committee on Financial Services.

The Federal Open Market Committee paused its aggressive campaign against inflation last week after 10 consecutive interest rate hikes, to give policymakers more time to assess the strength of the US economy.

"Nearly all FOMC participants expect that it will be appropriate to raise interest rates somewhat further by the end of the year," Powell said on Wednesday.

The euro stood at USD1.1006, higher against USD1.0949. Against the yen, the dollar was trading at JPY142.08, up slightly compared to JPY142.00.

Stocks in New York were called lower. Both the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the S&P 500 index were called down 0.2%, while the Nasdaq Composite was called down 0.3%.

Leading the FTSE 100 at midday was Ocado, surged 35% to 581.37 pence, amid takeover speculation.

Online retailer Amazon.com declined to comment on whether a takeover of the online grocer and warehouse technology firm was on the cards, Reuters reported on Thursday.

The Times had earlier reported "talk" that US tech companies such as Amazon were considering an offer of GBP8-a-share.

"[Ocado] shares have been about as flat as an open bottle of lemonade since the pandemic but third parties, including reportedly Amazon, may still see value in the brand, technology and infrastructure," AJ Bell analyst Danni Hewson commented.

"Ocado's hopes of becoming an online groceries partner to businesses across the globe has only had limited success and shareholders may be open to a bidder putting them out of their misery."

Shares in Amazon were down 0.4% to USD124.39 each during pre-market trade in New York on Thursday.

Brent oil was quoted at USD75.38 a barrel at midday in London on Thursday, down from USD76.92 late Wednesday.

Shell lost 0.9% in London, though Morgan Stanley raised it to 'equal-weight' from 'underweight'. BP lost 0.5%, also tracking Brent prices lower.

On London's AIM, Falcon Oil & Gas plummeted 34%, as its A2H well underperformed.

The Dublin-based oil and gas company focused on Australia, South Africa and Hungary said its A2H well in the Beetaloo sub-basin in Australia has been flowing at 0.97 million cubic feet per day for over 50 days, and is currently producing at 0.83 mmcf/day.

It noted that flow rates are not reflective of the "true deliverability" of the A2H well.

Elsewhere, Alpha Financial Markets lost 19%. It reported yearly earnings growth, but cautioned that it expects "increased levels of competition" to be a feature in the short-term.

The asset and wealth management and insurance consultancy said revenue in the year ended March 31 jumped 45% to GBP228.7 million from GBP158.0 million. Pretax profit soared 73% to GBP25.8 million from GBP14.9 million.

The company lifted its final dividend by 40% to 10.50 pence per share, bringing the total payout for the financial year to 14.20p, up 37% from 10.40p.

Chief Executive Luc Baque said the company has "exceeded" expectations, and achieved growth across the board, particularly in North America. Looking ahead, however, Alpha Financial said it is "mindful" of economic uncertainty.

"We have also recently seen a lengthening sales cycle and increased competition as a result of the current overcapacity in the global consulting market. This is expected to be a short-term backdrop, while the consulting market balances supply with overall demand. The medium to long-term outlook for our key client markets is positive, with the structural drivers of demand and growth remaining strong," the company added.

In European equities on Thursday, the CAC 40 in Paris was down 1.3%, while the DAX 40 in Frankfurt was down 0.7%.

Gold was quoted at USD1,927.93 an ounce midday Thursday in London, down slightly against USD1,930.37 late Wednesday.

The economic calendar has the latest US jobless claims report at 1330 BST.

By Sophie Rose, Alliance News reporter

Comments and questions to newsroom@alliancenews.com

Copyright 2023 Alliance News Ltd. All Rights Reserved.

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30 Aug 2023 11:06

Falcon Oil upbeat on progress at Beetaloo well

(Sharecast News) - Falcon Oil announced on Wednesday that the Shenandoah South 1H (SS1H) pilot hole, located in exploration permit 117 in the Beetaloo Sub-basin, had reached a total vertical depth (TVD) of 3,300 metres.

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25 Aug 2023 11:07

Falcon Oil's Australian partner completes farm-in commitments

(Sharecast News) - Falcon Oil & Gas announced on Friday that its subsidiary, Falcon Australia, had received confirmation from its joint venture partner Tamboran regarding the completion of its 2014 farm-in commitments.

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25 Aug 2023 11:06

Falcon Oil & Gas reports narrowed loss; meets 2014 farm-in commitments

(Alliance News) - Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd on Thursday reported a narrowed interim loss and announced that its joint venture partner, Tamboran (B2) Pty Ltd, has given notice that the 2014 farm-in commitments have now been met.

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1 Aug 2023 18:20

TRADING UPDATES: Fidelity Japan swings to return, Oqtec loss widens

(Alliance News) - The following is a round-up of updates by London-listed companies, issued on Tuesday and not separately reported by Alliance News:

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24 Jul 2023 10:43

IN BRIEF: Falcon Oil reports progress on upcoming Beetaloo well drill

Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd - oil and gas company focused on Australia, South Africa and Hungary - Says rig successfully mobilised to the Shenandoah South 1H well pad in the Beetaloo sub-basin 600 kilometres south of Darwin, Australia. Expects drilling of SS1H well to start in early August and take approximately 45 days; this will be the first of its two-well programme this year. Falcon says SS1H will target the Amungee Member-B shell at a 3.2 kilometres target depth, and that "The deeper reservoir is expected to deliver higher pressures".

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22 Jun 2023 10:46

IN BRIEF: Falcon Oil & Gas shares plummet as A2H well underperforms

Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd on Thursday - Dublin-based oil and gas company focused on Australia, South Africa and Hungary - Says A2H well in the Beetaloo sub-basin in Australia has been flowing at 0.97 million cubic feet per day for over 50 days, and is currently producing at 0.83 mmcf/day. Adds third-party analysis from a US laboratory identified a potential skin inhibiting the flow of gas from the simulated shale and is thus testing potential clean-up methods. Notes flow rates are not reflective of the "true deliverability" of the A2H well. Says it remains in a "very strong financial position" with around USD16 million in cash.

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16 Feb 2023 17:41

Falcon Oil starts stimulating new Beetaloo well

(Sharecast News) - Falcon Oil & Gas announced the start of a well stimulation programme at the Amungee NW-2H well on Thursday.

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23 Dec 2022 12:21

Falcon Oil upbeat after completing A2H well

(Sharecast News) - Falcon Oil announced on Friday that drilling operations, including casing and cementing, at the Amungee NW-2H well had been successfully completed.

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23 Dec 2022 10:47

Falcon Oil & Gas completes drilling at Amungee NW-2H, finds methane

(Alliance News) - Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd on Friday said drilling operations at the Amungee NW-2H well in Australia have completed, with a high concentration of methane observed.

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25 Nov 2022 12:08

IN BRIEF: Falcon Oil & Gas posts virtually flat third quarter loss

Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd - Dublin-based oil and gas company focused on Australia, South Africa and Hungary - Loss in the three months to September 30 narrows slightly to USD822,000 from USD842,000 a year prior. However, the firm says it is debt free with cash of USD16.9 million as of September 30, jumping 90% from USD8.9 million at December 31, 2021.

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10 Nov 2022 14:06

Falcon Oil announces spudding of Amungee development well

(Sharecast News) - Falcon Oil & Gas announced the spudding of the Amungee 2H development well on Thursday, with the Silver City Rig 40, on EP 98 in the Beetaloo sub-basin of Australia's Northern Territory.

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25 Aug 2022 18:06

IN BRIEF: Falcon Oil & Gas interim loss widens slightly

Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd - Dublin-based oil and gas company focused on Australia, South Africa and Hungary - Posts no revenue in six months ended June 30, down from nominal USD2,000 a year earlier. Loss widens to USD2.1 million from USD2.0 million.

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20 May 2022 06:26

IN BRIEF: Falcon Oil & Gas narrows first quarter loss

Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd - Dublin-based oil and gas company focused on Australia, South Africa and Hungary - Narrows comprehensive loss to USD750,000 in the first quarter of 2022 from a loss of USD1.3 million the previous year. Produces no revenue, down from USD2,000 the year prior. First quarter expenses fall to USD693,000 from USD1.2 million. Assets dip marginally to USD50.9 million from USD51.4 million.

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6 May 2022 17:54

IN BRIEF: Falcon Oil & Gas changes programme at Beetaloo sub-basin

Falcon Oil & Gas Ltd - Dublin-based oil and gas company focused on Australia, South Africa and Hungary - Provides an operational update on the stage three work programme at the Beetaloo sub-basin in Australia on Wednesday. Programme was progressed with joint venture partner Origin Energy B2 Pty Ltd and will include the acquisition of a 58 kilometre line if high spec 2D seismic and the drilling of one 1,000 metre horizontal well on the Amungee NW-1H pad and another on the Amungee Member B shale. Explains the primary project of the two wells is to obtain a production rate over the first 30 days between 2 to 3 million standard cubic feet per day. This is so a multi-well pilot programme can be supported.

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