RNWH tipped in SCSW - part 118 Jun 2025 09:38
Since SCSW's new issue is out I'll note that RNWH were a headline tip in their prior May issue.
Quite apart from Rail, Telecoms, Wind and Water as below, SCSW also highlights Renew's opportunities in Roads (via Carnell), Aviation and Nuclear.
They note in particular re Rail that "investors may not need to wait long to see results, with conditions beginning to improve as lower early spending in the CP7 cycle points to a likely acceleration in regulatory investment over the remaining four years...
...Within its Rail division (38% of group sales), the business has experienced delays and deferrals in scheduled renewal programmes. The corollary is that, as operators increasingly rely on ageing infrastructure, demand for both planned and reactive maintenance is rising โ a trend analysts expect to continue."
"Renewโs rail division benefits from long-term, publicly funded investment programmes dedicated to renewing and maintaining the rail network. The most significant of these is Network Railโs Control Period frameworks, which involve multi-billion-pound, five-year investment cycles targeting specific areas of national infrastructure.
The group is currently benefiting from CP7, which runs from 1 April 2024 to 31 March 2029, with an estimated ยฃ45.4 billion allocated to national investment. Around ยฃ37 billion of this is dedicated to renewal, maintenance and support services, directly aligning with Renewโs capabilities. Renew holds c50 individual framework agreements across CP7 and strong relationships with most of the main rail providers. The group operates on all of Network Railโs routes and from 20 regional offices and equipment depots across the network"
Other brief extracts of note:
"Since 2010, the company has increased its operating margin more than fourfold - from 1.6% to 6.7% in FY24 - and has delivered 14 consecutive years of stable or growing margins. Over the same period, absolute operating profits have risen from ยฃ4.5m to ยฃ70.9m in FY24, with roughly half of that growth achieved organically.
How did it do it? Mainly by sticking religiously to what it does best and doing it extremely well. Renew has never followed the fashion for capital-intensive and risky โnew-buildโ projects, like those undertaken by Costain, Kier or Morgan Sindall, and so has avoided the pitfalls of projects going wrong."
"Notably, this year also marks the first contribution from the newly acquired Wind business, which is performing well and boasts operating margins approximately twice the group average - offering a meaningful uplift to group profitability."
"Full Circle boasts an impressive 97% availability rate. What makes the business particularly attractive is its revenue model: it gets paid regardless of whether issues arise and contracts typically last seven years with a 95% renewal rate."