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Well, some people are just impossible to please, Rach, aren't they?
You spent time in several posts bringing up placing and the entire argument that it'll be easy to buy into Cobra cheaper after it - I had pointed out that several times placing had been at premium or minimal discount and SP ended higher on the day of the placing, which again looks to be happening.
Are you seriously arguing that budget of 700k for 5 months is insane when that 5 months have included a full drilling campaign and other activity? If you please point me to companies who drill for free, I'd love to hear about them. In addition, you only know that they have spent "up to 700k", I doubt they have used up all of the budget already, but who only raises funds when the bank balance reaches zero?
Again the placing has been done with the support of the original vendors of Wudinna who remain to show strong financial interest in the project. Management and BoD highly aligned with shareholders here with holding 30%+ of outstanding shares. Hard to give the benefit of the doubt to you by now, before it was "They'll raise in the not too distant future, might get in at big discount to current SP", now that they raised at pretty much par to the current SP and are fully funded for the year, a budget of ~1.5m£/yr for advancing a promising project seems to be worth criticising to you. When really Cobra has been hugely economical with the budget they work with for years and kept dilution to shareholders at bay with equity raises at premium or small discounts. Laughable, sadly, I was hoping you'd be factual, but you're just continuously negatively biased even on things there's zero reason for it. No one says it's all done, everybody knows there's de-risking of Boland to do, but criticising the raise of 600k£ for 2 hugely important drilling campaigns that will underpin the maiden MRE of Boland? That was the best move Cobra could have done, and I'm very happy to be fully funded through to the maiden resource estimate, as I think are the vast majority of shareholders.
RachT2 your darling RBW raised £4.3M late last year by placing shares and they currently have a similar amount of shares in issue as Cobr. GGP have over 5B shares and they did rather well. How else do you expect junior miners to fund exploration?
Maybe if you continue to talk cobblers then LSE will delete your latest reincarnation as well.
Good Management, getting on at a pace. Well done RV & the team. Plan looks sound, GLA.
As a shareholder, I am not a little disconcerted at today’s news, in fact I’m pleased they’re moving at pace. As a non shareholder, you are a little disconcerted. It’s a funny old world.
Some members may have spotted that I have had to obtain a new account – when I attempted (several times) to login LSE claimed there was no account with my email address???? Yet when I attempted (several times) to register again using that exact same email it told me I couldn't use that email as it was already is use by another account. Frustrating.
I might be a lone voice here so I'll get my tin hat on but I find the fund raise a little disconcerting. 5 months ago cobr raised £991k gross - lets say £960k net, they spent £260k of that on buying the remaining 25% of Wudinna so in the last 5 months they've burnt through £700k and have had to do another dilutive fund raise for £600k. Let's say that is £570k net - how long will that last if the last £700k only lasted 5months? There's already a lot more shares.
Iv been slowly accumulating here over the the last 3-4 months - one of the only significant REE resources in Australia - with a 7mil mcap - I keep thinking when not if goes much higher. Really happy with today's news as I though one would come. Onwards upwards from here
Shipwrecksheep… thanks for reply and filling in the gaps… all steam ahead with todays rns. GL.
Nice to see a couple buys go through. :)
Exactly, and it's been implemented without fuss, in a "hey guys, just to let you know, these results make us wanna do 2 AC drill campaigns within the next 6 months, and we're fully funded for it" way. What's not to love really? Except that it likely brings me to < 3% of outstanding shares when these get admitted, how sad.
Agree shipwreck , placing is a tiny discount compared to some of the placings I have seen across AIM over the last few months
"Not fussed with the placing"? I'm tbh absolutely delighted with the placing, 2.5% discount to SP and fully funded for rest of the year, yes please haha
The thing is, molokai, I haven't seen a single rare earths company say "The assets are worth x$" - Rupert has certainly switched to talking about the commercial side more, it's not like they ignore that side. But the way he does it is by comparing to https://meteoric.com.au/ , which, yes, has higher grades at Caldeira (but lower recoverability than Cobra), but it's similar style mineralisation, it's the same massive scale that we're looking at with Boland imo (Caldeira is 400 Mt+ resource), both companies also have a smaller gold resource in addition (Cobra 279k ounces, Meteoric 357k ounces). If ISR is a green light at Boland, margins will still be high with the grades observed.
So we'd have a massive-scale, high-profit-margin, environmentally-friendly REE resource in the country with - to my knowledge - the only 2 rare earths miners with multi-billion $ market caps outside of China. With one of them, Lynas, currently only having hard rock resource, so they might well want to diversify to have cost competitiveness at low REE prices too, similar to Cameco with uranium with their high-grade hard-rock resource and a very low grad, but high-margin ISR resource. And that's when things could get very interesting very fast. Because frankly when you look at the Meteoric project and the potential of Boland, profit margins might not look so different eventually if Boland is ISR suitable and Caldeira isn't, yet one has 233m£ market cap and the other 7m£.
There's lots and lots of de-risking to do, but I don't consider a scenario of multiple 100m£ market cap as unrealistic, IF (and for now that's a big IF) the actual scale coincides with Cobra's model, ISR is a go, and grades are consistently above 1000 ppm throughout that area. This alone would likely warrant a market cap of 100m£, then add into the scenario possible interest by Lynas or Iluka given geographical proximity, add into the scenario any escalation in China leading to a potentially massive bull market in rare earths, and sky is the limit (that last point definitely applies to all REE companies that can operate mostly independent of the China value chain)
Incredible news.. Moving forward quickly .. The assays confirm .. District Province scale...
What is not to like about Cobra... Well run Company Tightly held shares , supportive long term holders..
What a time to add or jump in and invest at the same price as the listing...
Eventually the true value of Cobra tenements will be seen in the SP...
ATB
Well hopefully someone will share their thoughts on these set of results. I am not fussed with the placing as 30% went to investors so still a low float in reality and was not at a discount really as we are at 1p.
More likely a valuation will come from a broker. Not that they are reliable.
I've mentioned it a few times on here over the last year or so.... the RNS need to give a monetary value to the assets- maybe when Boland results are firmed up a $ sign will appear against the discoveries- that way the general market can gauge what they are buying into..... my opinion anyway.
We are approaching a 50/200 MA Golden Cross—just a bit more positive price action is required, and that might be a nice little signal to the market.
Really is...wonder what sort of PR can be done to bring cobra into the spot light.... shy of the usual twitter comment...need something with a bit more reach
Well and truly under the radar.
I think the "few hundred million" is probably based on Aussie dollars so maybe closer to a 15 bagger, still worth hanging around for though
Say Cobra have 1 billion shares in issue by end of 2025 then sell for £200m so 20p per share or is that way too optimistic!?
All depends on whether they can prove their ISR concept and it is scalable but if they can produce rare earths undercutting the Chinese then don’t see why the above is not feasible.
When will the market start to believe in the story though reflecting with sp growth rather than decrease then stagnation we’ve had to endure for the last 12-18 months!?
Haha, I'll have some of what they're drinking! But I'll start with a cup of some of the tea you're imbibing.
Nice post Tom....... I think they've been hitting the Vin rouge though at the sunday roast....a few hundered mill in two years!...a 50 bagger?! Blimey- i'll have so many millions of $$ it'll be like winning monopoly!
maybe a 10 bag in my tea leaves at some point?
GLA!
Https://audioboom.com/posts/8493525-sunday-roast-featuring-paul-johnson-investor-charles-archer-long-term-ftse-aim-investor-and-f
Cobra at about 1 hour 33 mins in.
"12 to 24 months....the for sale sign will go up and it will be worth a few hundred million dollars"
Ironically, I would guess a Uranium discovery at Yarrana!