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Annual Financial Report - 50a of 56

18 Mar 2016 17:04

RNS Number : 6444S
HSBC Holdings PLC
18 March 2016
 

12 Trading assets

Accounting policy

Financial assets are classified as held for trading if they have been acquired principally for the purpose of selling in the near term, or form part of a portfolio of identified financial instruments that are managed together and for which there is evidence of a recent pattern of short-term profit-taking. They are recognised on trade date, when HSBC enters into contractual arrangements with counterparties, and are normally derecognised when sold. They are initially measured at fair value, with transaction costs taken to the income statement. Subsequent changes in their fair values and interest are recognised in the income statement in 'Net trading income'.

Trading assets

2015

2014

$m

$m

Trading assets:

- not subject to repledge or resale by counterparties

192,204

247,586

- which may be repledged or resold by counterparties

32,633

56,607

At 31 December

224,837

304,193

Treasury and other eligible bills

7,829

16,170

Debt securities

99,038

141,532

Equity securities

66,491

75,249

-

Trading securities at fair value

173,358

232,951

Loans and advances to banks1

22,303

27,581

Loans and advances to customers1

29,176

43,661

At 31 December

224,837

304,193

1 Loans and advances to banks and customers include settlement accounts, stock borrowing, reverse repos and other amounts.

Trading securities valued at fair value1

2015

2014

$m

$m

US Treasury and US Government agencies2

14,833

25,880

UK Government

10,177

9,280

Hong Kong Government

6,495

6,946

Other government

48,567

78,774

Asset-backed securities3

3,135

3,494

Corporate debt and other securities

23,660

33,328

Equity securities

66,491

75,249

At 31 December

173,358

232,951

1 Included within these figures are debt securities issued by banks and other financial institutions of $16,403m (2014: $22,399m), of which $1,034m (2014: $2,949m) are guaranteed by various governments.

2 Includes securities that are supported by an explicit guarantee issued by the US Government.

3 Excludes asset-backed securities included under US Treasury and US Government agencies.

Trading securities listed on a recognised exchange and unlisted

Treasury

and other

eligible bills

Debt

securities

Equity securities

Total

$m

$m

$m

$m

Fair value

Listed1

295

71,184

66,152

137,631

Unlisted2

7,534

27,854

339

35,727

At 31 December 2015

7,829

99,038

66,491

173,358

Fair value

Listed1

1,311

98,028

74,542

173,881

Unlisted2

14,859

43,504

707

59,070

At 31 December 2014

16,170

141,532

75,249

232,951

1 Included within listed investments are $5,722m (2014: $5,956m) of securities listed in Hong Kong.

2 Unlisted treasury and other eligible bills primarily comprise treasury bills not listed on an exchange but for which there is a liquid market.

13 Fair values of financial instruments carried at fair value

Accounting policy

All financial instruments are recognised initially at fair value. Fair value is the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. The fair value of a financial instrument on initial recognition is generally its transaction price (that is, the fair value of the consideration given or received). However, sometimes the fair value will be based on other observable current market transactions in the same instrument, without modification or repackaging, or on a valuation technique whose variables include only data from observable markets, such as interest rate yield curves, option volatilities and currency rates. When such evidence exists, HSBC recognises a trading gain or loss at inception ('day 1 gain or loss'), being the difference between the transaction price and the fair value. When significant unobservable parameters are used, the entire day 1 gain or loss is deferred and is recognised in the income statement over the life of the transaction until the transaction matures or is closed out, the valuation inputs become observable or HSBC enters into an offsetting transaction.

The fair value of financial instruments is generally measured on an individual basis. However, in cases where HSBC manages a group of financial assets and liabilities according to its net market or credit risk exposure, the fair value of the group of financial instruments is measured on a net basis but the underlying financial assets and liabilities are presented separately in the financial statements, unless they satisfy the IFRSs offsetting criteria as described in Note 32.

 

Critical accounting estimates and judgements

Valuation of financial instruments

The best evidence of fair value is a quoted price in an actively traded principal market. The fair values of financial instruments that are quoted in active markets are based on bid prices for assets held and offer prices for liabilities issued. When a financial instrument has a quoted price in an active market, the fair value of the total holding of the financial instrument is calculated as the product of the number of units and the quoted price. The judgement as to whether a market is active may include, but is not restricted to, consideration of factors such as the magnitude and frequency of trading activity, the availability of prices and the size of bid/offer spreads. The bid/offer spread represents the difference in prices at which a market participant would be willing to buy compared with the price at which they would be willing to sell. Valuation techniques may incorporate assumptions about factors that other market participants would use in their valuations, including:

· the likelihood and expected timing of future cash flows on the instrument. Judgement may be required to assess the counterparty's ability to service the instrument in accordance with its contractual terms. Future cash flows may be sensitive to changes in market rates;

· selecting an appropriate discount rate for the instrument. Judgement is required to assess what a market participant would regard as the appropriate spread of the rate for an instrument over the appropriate risk-free rate; and

· judgement to determine what model to use to calculate fair value in areas where the choice of valuation model is particularly subjective, for example, when valuing complex derivative products.

A range of valuation techniques is employed, dependent on the instrument type and available market data. Most valuation techniques are based upon discounted cash flow analyses, in which expected future cash flows are calculated and discounted to present value using a discounting curve. Prior to considering credit risk, the expected future cash flows may be known, as would be the case for the fixed leg of an interest rate swap, or may be uncertain and require projection, as would be the case for the floating leg of an interest rate swap. 'Projection' utilises market forward curves, if available. In option models, the probability of different potential future outcomes must be considered. In addition, the value of some products is dependent on more than one market factor, and in these cases it will typically be necessary to consider how movements in one market factor may affect the other market factors. The model inputs necessary to perform such calculations include interest rate yield curves, exchange rates, volatilities, correlations and prepayment and default rates. For interest rate derivatives with collateralised counterparties and in significant currencies, HSBC uses a discounting curve that reflects the overnight interest rate.

The majority of valuation techniques employ only observable market data. However, certain financial instruments are valued on the basis of valuation techniques that feature one or more significant market inputs that are unobservable, and for them the measurement of fair value is more judgemental. An instrument in its entirety is classified as valued using significant unobservable inputs if, in the opinion of management, a significant proportion of the instrument's inception profit or greater than 5% of the instrument's valuation is driven by unobservable inputs. 'Unobservable' in this context means that there is little or no current market data available from which to determine the price at which an arm's length transaction would be likely to occur. It generally does not mean that there is no data available at all upon which to base a determination of fair value (consensus pricing data may, for example, be used).

 

Control framework

Fair values are subject to a control framework designed to ensure that they are either determined or validated by a function independent of the risk taker.

For all financial instruments where fair values are determined by reference to externally quoted prices or observable pricing inputs to models, independent price determination or validation is utilised. In inactive markets HSBC will source alternative market information to validate the financial instrument's fair value, with greater weight given to information that is considered to be more relevant and reliable. The factors that are considered in this regard are, inter alia:

· the extent to which prices may be expected to represent genuine traded or tradeable prices;

· the degree of similarity between financial instruments;

· the degree of consistency between different sources;

· the process followed by the pricing provider to derive the data;

· the elapsed time between the date to which the market data relates and the balance sheet date; and

· the manner in which the data was sourced.

For fair values determined using valuation models, the control framework may include, as applicable, development or validation by independent support functions of (i) the logic within valuation models; (ii) the inputs to these models; (iii) any adjustments required outside the valuation models; and (iv) where possible, model outputs. Valuation models are subject to a process of due diligence and calibration before becoming operational and are calibrated against external market data on an ongoing basis.

Changes in fair value are generally subject to a profit and loss analysis process. This process disaggregates changes in fair value into three high level categories; (i) portfolio changes, such as new transactions or maturing transactions, (ii) market movements, such as changes in foreign exchange rates or equity prices, and (iii) other, such as changes in fair value adjustments (see further below).

The majority of financial instruments measured at fair value are in GB&M. GB&M's fair value governance structure is illustrated below as an example:

 

Financial liabilities measured at fair value

In certain circumstances, HSBC records its own debt in issue at fair value, based on quoted prices in an active market for the specific instrument concerned, where available. An example of this is where own debt in issue is hedged with interest rate derivatives. When quoted market prices are unavailable, the own debt in issue is valued using valuation techniques, the inputs for which are either based upon quoted prices in an inactive market for the instrument or are estimated by comparison with quoted prices in an active market for similar instruments. In both cases, the fair value includes the effect of applying the credit spread which is appropriate to HSBC's liabilities. The change in fair value of issued debt securities attributable to the Group's own credit spread is computed as follows: for each security at each reporting date, an externally verifiable price is obtained or a price is derived using credit spreads for similar securities for the same issuer. Then, using discounted cash flow, each security is valued using a Libor-based discount curve. The difference in the valuations is attributable to the Group's own credit spread. This methodology is applied consistently across all securities.

Structured notes issued and certain other hybrid instrument liabilities are included within trading liabilities and are measured at fair value. The credit spread applied to these instruments is derived from the spreads at which HSBC issues structured notes.

Gains and losses arising from changes in the credit spread of liabilities issued by HSBC reverse over the contractual life of the debt, provided that the debt is not repaid at a premium or a discount.

Fair value hierarchy

Fair values of financial assets and liabilities are determined according to the following hierarchy:

· Level 1 - valuation technique using quoted market price: financial instruments with quoted prices for identical instruments in active markets that HSBC can access at the measurement date.

· Level 2 - valuation technique using observable inputs: financial instruments with quoted prices for similar instruments in active markets or quoted prices for identical or similar instruments in inactive markets and financial instruments valued using models where all significant inputs are observable.

· Level 3 - valuation technique with significant unobservable inputs: financial instruments valued using valuation techniques where one or more significant inputs are unobservable.

·

The following table sets out the financial instruments by fair value hierarchy.

Financial instruments carried at fair value and bases of valuation

Valuation techniques

Quoted

market

price

Level 1

Using

observable

inputs

Level 2

With significant

unobservable

inputs

Level 3

Total

$m

$m

$m

$m

Recurring fair value measurements at 31 December 2015

Assets

Trading assets

133,095

84,886

6,856

224,837

Financial assets designated at fair value

18,947

4,431

474

23,852

Derivatives

1,922

284,292

2,262

288,476

Financial investments: available for sale

262,929

117,197

4,727

384,853

Liabilities

Trading liabilities

41,462

95,867

4,285

141,614

Financial liabilities designated at fair value

5,260

61,145

3

66,408

Derivatives

2,243

277,618

1,210

281,071

Recurring fair value measurements at 31 December 2014

Assets

Trading assets

180,446

117,279

6,468

304,193

Financial assets designated at fair value

23,697

4,614

726

29,037

Derivatives

4,366

337,718

2,924

345,008

Financial investments: available for sale

241,464

131,264

4,988

377,716

Liabilities

Trading liabilities

62,385

122,048

6,139

190,572

Financial liabilities designated at fair value

3,792

72,361

-

76,153

Derivatives

4,649

334,113

1,907

340,669

The decrease in Level 1 and Level 2 trading assets and liabilities during the period reflects a decrease in inventory across a wide range of securities. The decrease in Level 2 derivative assets and liabilities is driven by participation in 'portfolio compression' exercises and market movement.

Transfers between Level 1 and Level 2 fair values

Assets

Liabilities

Available for sale

Held for trading

Designated at fair value

through

profit or loss

Derivatives

Held for trading

Designated

at fair value

through

profit or loss

Derivatives

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

At 31 December 2015

Transfers from Level 1 to Level 2

-

67

-

56

1,563

857

100

Transfers from Level 2 to Level 1

-

487

-

2

515

2

-

At 31 December 2014

Transfers from Level 1 to Level 2

2,702

18,149

-

-

22,964

-

-

Transfers from Level 2 to Level 1

-

-

-

-

-

-

-

 

Fair value adjustments

Fair value adjustments are adopted when HSBC considers that there are additional factors that would be considered by a market participant which are not incorporated within the valuation model. HSBC classifies fair value adjustments as either 'risk-related' or 'model-related'. The majority of these adjustments relate to GB&M.

Movements in the level of fair value adjustments do not necessarily result in the recognition of profits or losses within the income statement. For example, as models are enhanced, fair value adjustments may no longer be required. Similarly, fair value adjustments will decrease when the related positions are unwound, but this may not result in profit or loss.

 

Global Banking and Markets fair value adjustments

2015

2014

$m

$m

Type of adjustment

Risk-related

1,402

1,958

- bid-offer

477

539

- uncertainty

95

357

- credit valuation adjustment

853

871

- debit valuation adjustment

(465)

(270)

- funding fair value adjustment

442

460

- other

0

1

Model-related

97

57

- model limitation

92

52

- other

5

5

Inception profit (Day 1 P&L reserves) (Note 16)

97

114

At 31 December

1,596

2,129

Fair value adjustments declined by $533m during the year. The most significant movement was a decline of $262m in respect of the uncertainty category, driven by the reclassification to model limitation of an adjustment relating to derivative discounting assumptions. This adjustment reduced significantly following contract renegotiations with certain counterparties. The debit valuation adjustment increased by $195m as a result of the widening of HSBC's credit spreads.

Risk-related adjustments

Bid-offer

IFRS 13 'Fair value measurement' requires use of the price within the bid-offer spread that is most representative of fair value. Valuation models will typically generate mid-market values. The bid-offer adjustment reflects the extent to which bid-offer costs would be incurred if substantially all residual net portfolio market risks were closed using available hedging instruments or by disposing of or unwinding the position.

Uncertainty

Certain model inputs may be less readily determinable from market data, and/or the choice of model itself may be more subjective. In these circumstances, there exists a range of possible values that the financial instrument or market parameter may assume and an adjustment may be necessary to reflect the likelihood that in estimating the fair value of the financial instrument, market participants would adopt more conservative values for uncertain parameters and/or model assumptions than those used in the valuation model.

Credit valuation adjustment

The CVA is an adjustment to the valuation of over-the-counter ('OTC') derivative contracts to reflect within fair value the possibility that the counterparty may default and that HSBC may not receive the full market value of the transactions (see below).

Debit valuation adjustment

The DVA is an adjustment to the valuation of OTC derivative contracts to reflect within fair value the possibility that HSBC may default, and that HSBC may not pay full market value of the transactions (see below).

Funding fair value adjustment

The funding fair value adjustment ('FFVA') is calculated by applying future market funding spreads to the expected future funding exposure of any uncollateralised component of the OTC derivative portfolio. This includes the uncollateralised component of collateralised derivatives in addition to derivatives that are fully uncollateralised. The expected future funding exposure is calculated by a simulation methodology, where available. The expected future funding exposure is adjusted for events that may terminate the exposure such as the default of HSBC or the counterparty. The FFVA and DVA are calculated independently.

Model-related adjustments

Model limitation

Models used for portfolio valuation purposes may be based upon a simplifying set of assumptions that do not capture all material market characteristics. Additionally, markets evolve, and models that were adequate in the past may require development to capture all material market characteristics in current market conditions. In these circumstances, model limitation adjustments are adopted. As model development progresses, model limitations are addressed within the valuation models and a model limitation adjustment is no longer needed.

Inception profit (Day 1 P&L reserves)

Inception profit adjustments are adopted when the fair value estimated by a valuation model is based on one or more significant unobservable inputs. The accounting for inception profit adjustments is discussed on page 378.

Credit valuation adjustment/debit valuation adjustment methodology

HSBC calculates a separate CVA and DVA for each HSBC legal entity, and within each entity for each counterparty to which the entity has exposure. HSBC calculates the CVA by applying the probability of default ('PD') of the counterparty, conditional on the non-default of HSBC, to HSBC's expected positive exposure to the counterparty and multiplying the result by the loss expected in the event of default. Conversely, HSBC calculates the DVA by applying the PD of HSBC, conditional on the non-default of the counterparty, to the expected positive exposure of the counterparty to HSBC and multiplying the result by the loss expected in the event of default. Both calculations are performed over the life of the potential exposure.

For most products HSBC uses a simulation methodology to calculate the expected positive exposure to a counterparty. This incorporates a range of potential exposures across the portfolio of transactions with the counterparty over the life of the portfolio. The simulation methodology includes credit mitigants such as counterparty netting agreements and collateral agreements with the counterparty.

For certain types of exotic derivatives where the products are not currently supported by the simulation, or for derivative exposures in smaller trading locations where the simulation tool is not yet available, HSBC adopts alternative methodologies.

The methodologies do not, in general, account for 'wrong-way risk'. Wrong-way risk arises when the underlying value of the derivative prior to any CVA is positively correlated to the probability of default by the counterparty. When there is significant wrong-way risk, a trade-specific approach is applied to reflect the wrong-way risk within the valuation.

With the exception of certain central clearing parties, we include all third-party counterparties in the CVA and DVA calculations and do not net these adjustments across Group entities. We review and refine the CVA and DVA methodologies on an ongoing basis.

Fair value valuation bases

Financial instruments measured at fair value using a valuation technique with significant unobservable inputs - Level 3

Assets

Liabilities

Available

for sale

Held for trading

At fair

value1

Deriva- tives

Total

Held for trading

At fair

value1

Deriva- tives

Total

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

Private equity including strategic investments

3,443

55

453

-

3,951

35

-

-

35

Asset-backed securities

1,053

531

-

-

1,584

-

-

-

-

Loans held for securitisation

-

30

-

-

30

-

-

-

-

Structured notes

-

4

-

-

4

4,250

-

-

4,250

Derivatives with monolines

-

-

-

196

196

-

-

-

-

Other derivatives

-

-

-

2,066

2,066

-

-

1,210

1,210

Other portfolios

231

6,236

21

-

6,488

-

3

-

3

At 31 December 2015

4,727

6,856

474

2,262

14,319

4,285

3

1,210

5,498

Private equity including strategic investments

3,120

164

432

-

3,716

47

-

-

47

Asset-backed securities

1,462

616

-

-

2,078

-

-

-

-

Loans held for securitisation

-

39

-

-

39

-

-

-

-

Structured notes

-

2

-

-

2

6,092

-

-

6,092

Derivatives with monolines

-

-

-

239

239

-

-

1

1

Other derivatives

-

-

-

2,685

2,685

-

-

1,906

1,906

Other portfolios

406

5,647

294

-

6,347

-

-

-

-

5,

726

At 31 December 2014

4,988

6,468

726

2,924

15,106

6,139

-

1,907

8,046

1 Designated at fair value through profit or loss.

Level 3 instruments are present in both ongoing and legacy businesses. Loans held for securitisation, derivatives with monolines, certain 'other derivatives' and predominantly all Level 3 ABSs are legacy positions. HSBC has the capability to hold these positions.

Private equity including strategic investments

HSBC's private equity and strategic investments are generally classified as available for sale and are not traded in active markets. In the absence of an active market, an investment's fair value is estimated on the basis of an analysis of the investee's financial position and results, risk profile, prospects and other factors, as well as by reference to market valuations for similar entities quoted in an active market, or the price at which similar companies have changed ownership.

Asset-backed securities

While quoted market prices are generally used to determine the fair value of these securities, valuation models are used to substantiate the reliability of the limited market data available and to identify whether any adjustments to quoted market prices are required. For ABSs including residential mortgage-backed securities, the valuation uses an industry standard model and the assumptions relating to prepayment speeds, default rates and loss severity based on collateral type, and performance, as appropriate. The valuations output is benchmarked for consistency against observable data for securities of a similar nature.

Loans, including leveraged finance and loans held for securitisation

Loans held at fair value are valued from broker quotes and/or market data consensus providers when available. In the absence of an observable market, the fair value is determined using alternative valuation techniques. These techniques include discounted cash flow models, which incorporate assumptions regarding an appropriate credit spread for the loan, derived from other market instruments issued by the same or comparable entities.

Structured notes

The fair value of structured notes valued using a valuation technique with significant unobservable inputs is derived from the fair value of the underlying debt security, and the fair value of the embedded derivative is determined as described in the paragraph below on derivatives.

Level 3 structured notes principally comprise equity-linked notes which are issued by HSBC and provide the counterparty with a return that is linked to the performance of certain equity securities, and other portfolios. The notes are classified as Level 3 due to the unobservability of parameters such as long-dated equity volatilities and correlations between equity prices, between equity prices and interest rates and between interest rates and foreign exchange rates.

Derivatives

OTC (i.e. non-exchange traded) derivatives are valued using valuation models. Valuation models calculate the present value of expected future cash flows, based upon 'no-arbitrage' principles. For many vanilla derivative products, such as interest rate swaps and European options, the modelling approaches used are standard across the industry. For more complex derivative products, there may be some differences in market practice. Inputs to valuation models are determined from observable market data wherever possible, including prices available from exchanges, dealers, brokers or providers of consensus pricing. Certain inputs may not be observable in the market directly, but can be determined from observable prices via model calibration procedures or estimated from historical data or other sources. Examples of inputs that may be unobservable include volatility surfaces, in whole or in part, for less commonly traded option products, and correlations between market factors such as foreign exchange rates, interest rates and equity prices.

Derivative products valued using valuation techniques with significant unobservable inputs include certain types of correlation products, such as foreign exchange basket options, equity basket options, foreign exchange interest rate hybrid transactions and long-dated option transactions. Examples of the latter are equity options, interest rate and foreign exchange options and certain credit derivatives. Credit derivatives include certain tranched CDS transactions.

 

Reconciliation of fair value measurements in Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy

The following table provides a reconciliation of the movement between opening and closing balances of Level 3 financial instruments, measured at fair value using a valuation technique with significant unobservable inputs:

Movement in Level 3 financial instruments

Assets

Liabilities

Available

for sale

Held for trading

Designated

at fair value

through

profit or loss

Derivatives

Held for trading

Designated

at fair value

through

profit or loss

Derivatives

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

At 1 January 2015

4,988

6,468

726

2,924

6,139

-

1,907

Total gains/(losses) recognised in profit or loss

(34)

109

30

95

(573)

(1)

(209)

- trading income/(expense) excluding net interest income

-

109

-

95

(573)

-

(209)

- net income from other financial instruments designated at fair value

-

-

30

-

-

(1)

-

- gains less losses from financial investments

(269)

-

-

-

-

-

-

- loan impairment charges and other credit risk provisions

235

-

-

-

-

-

-

Total gains/(losses) recognised in other comprehensive income1

226

(192)

(11)

(126)

(118)

(1)

(64)

- available-for-sale investments:fair value gains

393

-

-

-

-

-

-

- cash flow hedges: fair value gains/(losses)

-

-

-

(4)

-

-

-

- exchange differences

(167)

(192)

(11)

(122)

(118)

(1)

(64)

Purchases

594

1,745

250

-

2

9

-

New issuances

-

-

-

-

1,471

-

-

Sales

(757)

(1,206)

(50)

-

(66)

(4)

-

Settlements

(32)

(146)

(135)

(38)

(1,260)

-

(241)

Transfers out

(1,471)

(206)

(336)

(1,015)

(1,743)

-

(283)

Transfers in

1,213

284

-

422

433

-

100

At 31 December 2015

4,727

6,856

474

2,262

4,285

3

1,210

Unrealised gains/(losses) recognised in profitor loss relating to assets and liabilities heldat 31 December 2015

235

(9)

12

89

384

(1)

267

- trading income/(expense) excluding net interest income

-

(9)

-

89

384

-

267

- net income/(expense) from other financial instruments designated at fair value

-

-

12

-

-

(1)

-

- loan impairment charges and other credit risk provisions

235

?

-

-

-

-

-

-

 

Assets

Liabilities

Available for sale

Held for trading

Designated

at fair value

through

profit or loss

Derivatives

Held for trading

Designated

at fair value

through

profit or loss

Derivatives

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

At 1 January 2014

7,245

5,347

608

2,502

7,514

-

2,335

Total gains/(losses) recognised in profit or loss

174

194

56

959

(25)

-

(5)

- trading income/(expense) excluding net interest income

-

194

-

959

(25)

-

(5)

- net income from other financial instruments designated at fair value

-

-

56

-

-

-

-

- gains less losses from financial investments

198

- loan impairment charges and other credit risk provisions

(24)

Total gains/(losses) recognised in other comprehensive income1

126

(178)

(16)

(126)

(123)

-

54

- available-for-sale investments:fair value gains/(losses)

208

-

-

-

-

-

-

- cash flow hedges: fair value gains/(losses)

-

-

-

(9)

-

-

34

- exchange differences

(82)

(178)

(16)

(117)

(123)

-

20

Purchases

1,505

705

273

-

(31)

-

-

New issuances

-

-

-

-

2,067

-

-

Sales

(1,237)

(481)

(149)

-

-

-

-

Settlements

(1,255)

(49)

(78)

27

(1,655)

-

(69)

Transfers out

(3,027)

(112)

-

(544)

(1,918)

-

(527)

Transfers in

1,457

1,042

32

106

310

-

119

At 31 December 2014

4,988

6,468

726

2,924

6,139

-

1,907

Unrealised gains/(losses) recognised in profit or loss relating to assets and liabilities held at 31 December 2014

(24)

1

46

946

(122)

-

134

- trading income/(expense) excluding net interest income

-

1

-

946

(122)

-

134

- net income from other financial instruments designated at fair value

-

-

46

-

-

-

-

- loan impairment charges and other credit risk provisions

(24)

?

-

-

-

-

-

-

1 Included in 'Available-for-sale investments: fair value gains/(losses)' and 'Exchange differences' in the consolidated statement of comprehensive income.

In 2015 movement of Level 3 available-for-sale assets are driven by ABS activity, predominantly in the securities investment conduits. Transfers out of Level 3 available-for-sale assets demonstrates increased confidence in pricing and price coverage, and transfers in reflect limited availability of third-party prices. Increase in Level 3 held for trading assets is driven by an increase in recently-issued syndicated loans. The decline in Level 3 held for trading liabilities reflects a decline in the outstanding balance of Level 3 equity-linked notes, both as a result of market movement and reduced issuance. The decline in Level 3 derivative assets and liabilities reflects market movement.

Effect of changes in significant unobservable assumptions to reasonably possible alternatives

Sensitivity of Level 3 fair values to reasonably possible alternative assumptions

Reflected inprofit or loss

Reflected inother comprehensive income

Favourable

changes

Unfavourable changes

Favourable

changes

Unfavourable

changes

$m

$m

$m

$m

Derivatives, trading assets and trading liabilities1

335

(215)

-

-

Financial assets and liabilities designated at fair value

24

(24)

-

-

Financial investments: available for sale

35

(30)

230

(243)

At 31 December 2015

394

(269)

230

(243)

Derivatives, trading assets and trading liabilities1

296

(276)

-

-

Financial assets and liabilities designated at fair value

37

(47)

-

-

Financial investments: available for sale

51

(67)

270

(350)

At 31 December 2014

384

(390)

270

(350)

1 Derivatives, trading assets and trading liabilities are presented as one category to reflect the manner in which these financial instruments are risk managed.

The effect of favourable changes is broadly unchanged over the period. The decrease in the effect of unfavourable changes reflects increased price certainty in respect of private equity and certain legacy funding structures, offset by greater syndicated loan uncertainty as a result of the increased Level 3 balance.

Sensitivity of fair values to reasonably possible alternative assumptions by Level 3 instrument type

Reflected in profit or loss

Reflected in othercomprehensive income

Favourable

changes

Unfavourable changes

Favourable

changes

Unfavourable

changes

$m

$m

$m

$m

Private equity including strategic investments

54

(53)

152

(171)

Asset-backed securities

18

(12)

57

(51)

Loans held for securitisation

1

(1)

-

-

Structured notes

15

(11)

-

-

Derivatives with monolines

11

(11)

-

-

Other derivatives

179

(87)

-

-

Other portfolios

116

(94)

21

(21)

At 31 December 2015

394

(269)

230

(243)

Private equity including strategic investments

77

(110)

172

(255)

Asset-backed securities

49

(22)

60

(55)

Loans held for securitisation

1

(1)

-

-

Structured notes

14

(9)

-

-

Derivatives with monolines

11

(11)

-

-

Other derivatives

129

(155)

-

-

Other portfolios

103

(82)

38

(40)

At 31 December 2014

384

(390)

270

(350)

Favourable and unfavourable changes are determined on the basis of sensitivity analysis. The sensitivity analysis aims to measure a range of fair values consistent with the application of a 95% confidence interval. Methodologies take account of the nature of the valuation technique employed, as well as the availability and reliability of observable proxy and historical data. When the available data is not amenable to statistical analysis, the quantification of uncertainty is judgemental, but remains guided by the 95% confidence interval.

When the fair value of a financial instrument is affected by more than one unobservable assumption, the above table reflects the most favourable or the most unfavourable change from varying the assumptions individually.

Key unobservable inputs to Level 3 financial instruments

The table below lists key unobservable inputs to Level 3 financial instruments, and provides the range of those inputs as at 31 December 2015. The core range of inputs is the estimated range within which 90% of the inputs fall. A further description of the categories of key unobservable inputs is given below.

Quantitative information about significant unobservable inputs in Level 3 valuations

Fair value

Key unobservable

Assets

Liabilities

Valuation technique

inputs

Full range of inputs

Core range of inputs

$m

$m

Lower

Higher

Lower

Higher

Private equity including strategic investments

3,951

35

See notes on page 389

See notes on page 389

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Asset-backed securities

1,584

-

- CLO/CDO1

511

-

Model - Discounted cash flow

Prepayment rate

1%

6%

1%

6%

Market proxy

Bid quotes

3

147

54

117

Other ABSs

1,073

-

Loans held for securitisation

30

-

Structured notes

4

4,250

- equity-linked notes

-

3,719

Model - Option model

Equity volatility

12%

72%

19%

43%

Model - Option model

Equity correlation

35%

93%

43%

79%

- fund-linked notes

-

13

Model - Option model

Fund volatility

6%

8%

6%

8%

- FX-linked notes

-

166

Model - Option model

FX volatility

5%

35%

5%

20%

- other

4

352

Derivatives with monolines

196

-

Model - Discounted cash flow

Credit spread

4%

4%

4%

4%

Other derivatives

2,066

1,210

Interest rate derivatives:

- securitisation swaps

250

455

Model - Discounted cash flow

Prepayment rate

0%

90%

14%

71%

- long-dated swaptions

1,237

119

Model - Option model

IR volatility

3%

66%

20%

41%

- other

176

65

FX derivatives:

- FX options

180

186

Model - Option model

FX volatility

0.5%

35%

5%

14%

- other

10

5

Equity derivatives:

- long-dated single stock options

135

191

Model - Option model

Equity volatility

8%

104%

18%

44%

- other

39

170

Credit derivatives:

- other

39

19

Other portfolios

6,488

3

- structured certificates

4,434

-

Model - Discounted cash flow

Credit volatility

2%

4%

2%

4%

- EM corporate debt

210

-

Market proxy

Bid quotes

70

124

100

123

- other2

1,844

3

At 31 December 2015

14,319

5,498

 

 

Quantitative information about significant unobservable inputs in Level 3 valuations (continued)

Fair value

Key unobservable

Assets

Liabilities

Valuation technique

inputs

Full range of inputs

Core range of inputs

$m

$m

Lower

Higher

Lower

Higher

Private equity including strategic investments

3,716

47

See notes on page 389

See notes on page 389

n/a

n/a

n/a

n/a

Asset-backed securities

2,078

-

- CLO/CDO1

1,122

-

Model - Discounted cash flow

Prepayment rate

1%

6%

1%

6%

Market proxy

Bid quotes

0

100

54

85

Other ABSs

956

-

Loans held for securitisation

39

-

Structured notes

2

6,092

- equity-linked notes

-

4,744

Model - Option model

Equity volatility

0.2%

65%

18%

38%

Model - Option model

Equity correlation

27%

92%

44%

79%

- fund-linked notes

-

562

Model - Option model

Fund volatility

6%

8%

6%

8%

- FX-linked notes

2

477

Model - Option model

FX volatility

2%

70%

4%

16%

- other

-

309

Derivatives with monolines

239

1

Model - Discounted cash flow

Credit spread

3%

5%

4%

4%

Other derivatives

2,685

1,906

Interest rate derivatives:

- securitisation swaps

449

1,023

Model - Discounted cash flow

Prepayment rate

0%

50%

6%

18%

- long-dated swaptions

1,044

152

Model - Option model

IR volatility

2%

59%

16%

36%

- other

755

151

FX derivatives:

- FX options

89

95

Model - Option model

FX volatility

0.1%

70%

4%

14%

- other

7

7

Equity derivatives:

- long-dated single stock options

192

256

Model - Option model

Equity volatility

9%

65%

16%

40%

- other

34

162

Credit derivatives:

- other

115

60

Other portfolios

6,347

-

- structured certificates

4,420

-

Model - Discounted cash flow

Credit volatility

0.8%

3%

0.8%

3%

- EM corporate debt

372

-

Market proxy

Credit spread

1%

4%

1%

3%

Market proxy

Bid quotes

58

131

106

130

- other2

1,555

-

At 31 December 2014

15,106

8,046

1 Collateralised loan obligation/collateralised debt obligation.

2 Includes a range of smaller asset holdings.

 

Private equity including strategic investments

Given the bespoke nature of the analysis in respect of each holding, it is not practical to quote a range of key unobservable inputs.

Prepayment rates

Prepayment rates are a measure of the anticipated future speed at which a loan portfolio will be repaid in advance of the due date. They are an important input into modelled values of ABSs. A modelled price may be used where insufficient observable market prices exist to enable a market price to be determined directly. Prepayment rates are also an important input into the valuation of derivatives linked to securitisations. They vary according to the nature of the loan portfolio and expectations of future market conditions, and may be estimated using a variety of evidence, such as prepayment rates implied from proxy observable security prices, current or historical prepayment rates and macroeconomic modelling.

Market proxy

Market proxy pricing may be used for an instrument for which specific market pricing is not available, but evidence is available in respect of instruments that have some characteristics in common. In some cases it might be possible to identify a specific proxy, but more generally evidence across a wider range of instruments will be used to understand the factors that influence current market pricing and the manner of that influence.

The range of prices used as inputs into a market proxy pricing methodology may therefore be wide. This range is not indicative of the uncertainty associated with the price derived for an individual security.

Volatility

Volatility is a measure of the anticipated future variability of a market price, tending to increase in stressed market conditions and decrease in calmer market conditions. It is an important input in the pricing of options. In general, the higher the volatility, the more expensive the option will be. This reflects both the higher probability of an increased return from the option and the potentially higher costs that HSBC may incur in hedging the risks associated with the option. If option prices become more expensive, this increases the value of HSBC's long option positions (i.e. the positions in which HSBC has purchased options), while HSBC's short option positions (i.e. the positions in which HSBC has sold options) suffer losses.

Volatility varies by underlying reference market price, and by strike and maturity of the option. Volatility also varies over time. As a result, it is difficult to make general statements regarding volatility levels.

Certain volatilities, typically those of a longer-dated nature, are unobservable. The unobservable volatility is then estimated from observable data. The range of unobservable volatilities quoted in the table on page 387 reflects the wide variation in volatility inputs by reference market price. The core range is significantly narrower than the full range because these examples with extreme volatilities occur relatively rarely within the HSBC portfolio. For any single unobservable volatility, the uncertainty in the volatility determination is significantly less than the range quoted above.

Correlation

Correlation is a measure of the inter-relationship between two market prices and is expressed as a number between minus one and one. A positive correlation implies that the two market prices tend to move in the same direction, with a correlation of one implying that they always move in the same direction. A negative correlation implies that the two market prices tend to move in opposite directions, with a correlation of minus one implying that the two market prices always move in opposite directions. Correlation is used to value more complex instruments where the payout is dependent upon more than one market price. There is a wide range of instruments for which correlation is an input, and consequently a wide range of both same-asset correlations (e.g. equity-equity correlation) and cross-asset correlations (e.g. foreign exchange rate-interest rate correlation) is used. In general, the range of same-asset correlations will be narrower than the range of cross-asset correlations.

Correlation may be unobservable. Unobservable correlations may be estimated based upon a range of evidence, including consensus pricing services, HSBC trade prices, proxy correlations and examination of historical price relationships.

The range of unobservable correlations quoted in the table reflects the wide variation in correlation inputs by market price pair. For any single unobservable correlation, the uncertainty in the correlation determination is likely to be less than the range quoted above.

Credit spread

Credit spread is the premium over a benchmark interest rate required by the market to accept lower credit quality. In a discounted cash flow model, the credit spread increases the discount factors applied to future cash flows, thereby reducing the value of an asset. Credit spreads may be implied from market prices. Credit spreads may not be observable in more illiquid markets.

 

Inter-relationships between key unobservable inputs

Key unobservable inputs to Level 3 financial instruments may not be independent of each other. As described above, market variables may be correlated. This correlation typically reflects the manner in which different markets tend to react to macroeconomic or other events. Furthermore, the effect of changing market variables upon the HSBC portfolio will depend on HSBC's net risk position in respect of each variable.

HSBC Holdings

The following table provides an analysis of the basis for valuing financial assets and financial liabilities measured at fair value in the financial statements:

Basis of valuing HSBC Holdings' financial assets and liabilities measured at fair value

2015

2014

$m

$m

Valuation technique using observable inputs: Level 2

Assets at 31 December

Derivatives

2,467

2,771

Available for sale

4,285

4,073

Liabilities at 31 December

Designated at fair value

19,853

18,679

Derivatives

2,278

1,169

 

14 Fair values of financial instruments not carried at fair value

Fair values of financial instruments not carried at fair value and bases of valuation

Fair value

Valuation techniques

Carrying

amount

Quoted

market

price

Level 1

Using

observable

inputs

Level 2

With

significant

unobservable

inputs

Level 3

Total

$m

$m

$m

$m

$m

Assets and liabilities not held for sale at 31 December 2015

Assets

Loans and advances to banks

90,401

-

88,156

2,255

90,411

Loans and advances to customers

924,454

-

12,412

910,057

922,469

Reverse repurchase agreements - non-trading

146,255

-

145,307

959

146,266

Financial investments: debt securities

44,102

1,163

44,076

19

45,258

Liabilities

Deposits by banks

54,371

-

54,295

76

54,371

Customer accounts

1,289,586

-

1,280,368

9,421

1,289,789

Repurchase agreements - non-trading

80,400

-

80,400

-

80,400

Debt securities in issue

88,949

-

89,023

-

89,023

Subordinated liabilities

22,702

-

24,344

649

24,993

Assets and liabilities not held for sale at 31 December 2014

Assets

Loans and advances to banks

112,149

-

109,087

3,046

112,133

Loans and advances to customers

974,660

-

13,598

959,239

972,837

Reverse repurchase agreements - non-trading

161,713

-

160,600

1,123

161,723

Financial investments: debt securities

37,751

1,418

37,671

74

39,163

Liabilities

Deposits by banks

77,426

-

77,300

98

77,398

Customer accounts

1,350,642

-

1,336,865

13,730

1,350,595

Repurchase agreements - non-trading

107,432

-

107,432

-

107,432

Debt securities in issue

95,947

146

94,325

1,932

96,403

Subordinated liabilities

26,664

-

28,806

1,248

30,054

 

Fair values are determined according to the hierarchy set out in Note 13.

Other financial instruments not carried at fair value are typically short-term in nature and re-price to current market rates frequently. Accordingly, their carrying amount is a reasonable approximation of fair value. This includes cash and balances at central banks, items in the course of collection from and transmission to other banks, Hong Kong Government certificates of indebtedness and Hong Kong currency notes in circulation, all of which are measured at amortised cost.

Carrying amount and fair value of loans and advances to customers by industry sector

Carrying amount at 31 December

Not impaired

Impaired

Total

$m

$m

$m

2015

Loans and advances to customers

907,698

16,756

924,454

- personal

361,716

9,487

371,203

- corporate and commercial

485,933

7,145

493,078

- financial

60,049

124

60,173

2014

Loans and advances to customers

954,710

19,950

974,660

- personal

377,154

11,800

388,954

- corporate and commercial

527,168

8,016

535,184

- financial

50,388

134

50,522

 

Fair value at 31 December

Not impaired

Impaired

Total

$m

$m

$m

2015

Loans and advances to customers

906,696

15,773

922,469

- personal

359,559

9,024

368,583

- corporate and commercial

487,196

6,592

493,788

- financial

59,941

157

60,098

2014

Loans and advances to customers

954,347

18,490

972,837

- personal

375,615

10,721

386,336

- corporate and commercial

528,361

7,642

536,003

- financial

50,371

127

50,498

Loans and advances to customers are classified as not impaired or impaired in accordance with the criteria described on page 128.

Analysis of loans and advances to customers by geographical segment

2015

2014

Carrying amount

Fair value

Carrying amount

Fair value

$m

$m

$m

$m

Loans and advances to customers

Europe

392,041

392,540

409,733

413,373

Asia

356,375

355,249

362,955

361,412

Middle East and North Africa

29,894

29,614

29,063

28,658

North America

128,851

127,532

129,787

126,232

Latin America

17,293

17,534

43,122

43,162

At 31 December

924,454

922,469

974,660

972,837

 

Valuation

The fair value measurement is HSBC's estimate of the price that would be received to sell an asset or paid to transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. It does not reflect the economic benefits and costs that HSBC expects to flow from the instruments' cash flows over their expected future lives. Other reporting entities may use different valuation methodologies and assumptions in determining fair values for which no observable market prices are available.

Fair values of the following assets and liabilities are estimated for the purpose of disclosure as described below:

Loans and advances to banks and customers

The fair value of loans and advances is based on observable market transactions, where available. In the absence of observable market transactions, fair value is estimated using valuation models that incorporate a range of input assumptions. These assumptions may include value estimates from third-party brokers which reflect over-the-counter trading activity, forward looking discounted cash flow models using assumptions which HSBC believes are consistent with those which would be used by market participants in valuing such loans, and trading inputs from other market participants which include observed primary and secondary trades.

 

Loans are grouped, as far as possible, into homogeneous groups and stratified by loans with similar characteristics to improve the accuracy of estimated valuation outputs. The stratification of a loan book considers all material factors including vintage, origination period, estimates of future interest rates, prepayment speeds, delinquency rates, loan-to-value ratios, the quality of collateral, default probability, and internal credit risk ratings.

The fair value of a loan reflects both loan impairments at the balance sheet date and estimates of market participants' expectations of credit losses over the life of the loans, and the fair value effect of re-pricing between origination and the balance sheet date.

The fair value of loans and advances to customers in North America was lower than the carrying amount, primarily in the US, reflecting the market conditions at the balance sheet date. This was due to the challenging economic conditions during the past number of years, including house price depreciation, rising unemployment, changes in consumer behaviour, changes in discount rates and the lack of financing options available to support the purchase of loans and advances. The relative fair values increased during 2015, largely due to improved conditions in the housing industry driven by increased property values and, to a lesser extent, lower required market yields and increased investor demand for these types of loans and advances.

The fair value of loans and advances to customers in Europe is now broadly in line with carrying value, as new business from both new and existing customers reflects the current low interest rate environment.

Financial investments

The fair values of listed financial investments are determined using bid market prices. The fair values of unlisted financial investments are determined using valuation techniques that take into consideration the prices and future earnings streams of equivalent quoted securities.

Deposits by banks and customer accounts

Fair values are estimated using discounted cash flows, applying current rates offered for deposits of similar remaining maturities. The fair value of a deposit repayable on demand is approximated by its carrying value.

Debt securities in issue and subordinated liabilities

Fair values are determined using quoted market prices at the balance sheet date where available, or by reference to quoted market prices for similar instruments.

Repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements - non-trading

Fair values are estimated by using discounted cash flows, applying current rates. Fair values approximate carrying amounts as their balances are generally short dated.

HSBC Holdings

The methods used by HSBC Holdings to determine fair values of financial instruments for the purpose of measurement and disclosure are described above.

Fair values of HSBC Holdings' financial instruments not carried at fair value on the balance sheet

2015

2014

Carrying

amount

Fair

value1

Carrying

amount

Fair

value1

$m

$m

$m

$m

Assets at 31 December

Loans and advances to HSBC undertakings

44,350

45,180

43,910

45,091

Liabilities at 31 December

Amounts owed to HSBC undertakings

2,152

2,152

2,892

2,906

Debt securities in issue

960

1,224

1,009

1,357

Subordinated liabilities

15,895

18,297

17,255

20,501

1 Fair values were determined using valuation techniques with observable inputs (Level 2).

 

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
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