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Pin to quick picksDoric Nimrod 2 Regulatory News (DNA2)

Share Price Information for Doric Nimrod 2 (DNA2)

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Doric Nimrod Air Two is an Investment Trust

To obtain income returns and a capital return for its shareholders by acquiring, leasing and then selling aircraft.

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Asset Manager's Report

4 Jan 2013 14:00

RNS Number : 8681U
Doric Nimrod Air Two Limited
04 January 2013
 



THIS ANNOUNCEMENT AND THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS NOT FOR PUBLICATION, RELEASE, OR DISTRIBUTION, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN, OR INTO, THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN OR ANY JURISDICTION IN WHICH THE SAME WOULD BE UNLAWFUL. THE INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN DOES NOT CONSTITUTE AN OFFER OF SECURITIES FOR SALE IN THE UNITED STATES, AUSTRALIA, CANADA, JAPAN OR ANY JURISDICTION IN WHICH SUCH AN OFFER OR SOLICITATION IS UNLAWFUL.

DORIC NIMROD AIR TWO LIMITED

Announcement of Asset Manager's Report

4 January 2013

 

Doric Nimrod Air Two Limited (the "Company"), a new Guernsey-domiciled company, is pleased to present the quarterly Fact Sheet in respect of the period from 1 October 2012 to 31 December 2012.

 

Doric GmbH, the Company's Asset Manager, has provided the Company with this commentary on the Company's airplanes and a copy of their report is appended below for the benefit of shareholders.

 

*****

 

On the invitation of the directors of the Company, the following commentary has been provided by Doric GmbH as Asset Manager of the Company and is provided without any warranty as to its accuracy and without any liability incurred on the part of the Company, its directors and officers and service providers. The commentary is not intended to constitute, and should not be construed as, investment advice. Potential investors in the Company should seek their own independent financial advice and may not rely on this communication in evaluating the merits of an investment in the Company. The commentary is provided as a source of information for shareholders of the Company but is not attributable to the Company.

 

QUARTERLY FACT SHEET

 

DORIC NIMROD AIR TWO LIMITED

LSE: DNA2/DN2C

CISX: DNA2/DN2C

 

The Company

 

 

Doric Nimrod Air Two Limited ("the Company") is a Guernsey domiciled company which listed on the Specialist Fund Market of the London Stock Exchange and the Channel Islands Stock Exchange on 14th July 2011 with the admission of 72.5 million ordinary shares at an issue price of 200p per share. On March 27th 2012, the Company raised a further GBP 200.5 million through the issue of 100,250,000 C shares at 200p per share. The total market capitalisation of the Company is about GBP 399 million.

 

The Company has four wholly-owned subsidiaries: MSN077 Limited, MSN090 Limited, MSN105 Limited and Doric Nimrod Air Finance Alpha Limited ("Doric Alpha").

 

The purpose of the Company is to purchase a total of seven Airbus A380-861 aircraft, which will be leased to Emirates Airlines, the national carrier owned by the Investment Corporation of Dubai, based in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Each aircraft will be leased to Emirates for a period of 12 years from the point of delivery.

 

In order to complete the purchase of the first three aircraft, MSN077 Limited, MSN090 Limited and MSN105 Limited entered into three separate loans, each of which will be fully amortised with quarterly repayments in arrear over 12 years.

 

The net proceeds from the C share issue ("the Equity") were used to partially fund the purchase of the latest four of the seven Airbus A380s. In order to help fund the acquisition of these final four aircraft, Doric Alpha issued two tranches of enhanced equipment trust certificates ("the Certificates" or "EETC") - a form of debt security - in June 2012in the aggregate face amount of USD 587.5 million. Doric Alpha used the proceeds from both the Equity and the Certificates to finance the acquisition of four new Airbus A380 aircraft leased to Emirates.

 

At the end of December 2012 the Company had acquired all seven aircraft, which were delivered to Emirates on 14th October 2011 (MSN 77), 2nd December 2011 (MSN 90), 1st October 2012 (MSN 105 and MSN 106), 12th October 2012 (MSN 107), 9th November 2012 (MSN 109) and 30th November 2012 (MSN 110).

 

 

Investment Strategy

 

The Company's investment objective is to obtain income returns and a capital return for its Shareholders by acquiring, leasing and then selling aircraft. The Company has used the net proceeds of placing's and other equity capital raisings (including the C share issue), together with debt facilities or instruments, to acquire Airbus A380 aircraft which are leased to Emirates. The Company is receiving income from the lease rentals paid by Emirates pursuant to the leases. It is anticipated that income distributions will be made quarterly.

 

On 15th October 2012, a further dividend of 4.5p per Ordinary Share was declared and a dividend of 0.75p per C Share was declared for the financial period ending 31st March 2013. This dividend was paid to holders in November 2012. Prior to the conversion of the C shares, the Company has been targeting a distribution of 0.75p per C share per quarter once the fourth and the fifth aircraft have been acquired, rising to 4.125p per C share per quarter once the sixth and the seventh aircraft have been acquired. Post conversion it is anticipated that the Company will continue to target a distribution equivalent to the pre conversion distribution of 4.5p per share per quarter, equating to 9% per annum on the issue price of the C shares.

 

 

1. The Assets

 

At the end of December 2012, the Company had completed the purchase of all seven Airbus A380 aircraft, bearing manufacturer's serial numbers (MSN) 077, 090, 105, 106, 107, 109 and 110. All seven aircraft are leased to Emirates for an initial term of 12 years from the point of delivery with fixed lease rentals for the duration.

 

Amongst its 193 aircraft in operation as of December 2012, Emirates has a fleet of 31 A380s which currently serve 22 destinations worldwide: Amsterdam, Auckland, Bangkok, Beijing, Hong Kong, Jeddah, Johannesburg, Kuala Lumpur, London Heathrow, Manchester, Melbourne, Moscow, Munich, New York JFK, Paris, Rome, Seoul, Shanghai, Singapore, Sydney, Toronto and Tokyo. The carrier is the largest A380 operator in the world and has now carried more than 11.5 million passengers and has flown 169 million kilometers since the double decker was introduced to its fleet in August 2008. Emirates has an additional 59 of this model on firm order for delivery through 2017.

 

Recent visits of the seven A380s owned by the Company included Auckland, Bangkok, London Heathrow, Rom, Sydney and Tokyo.

 

Aircraft utilization for the period from delivery of each Airbus A380 until the end of November 2012 is:

 

 

MSN

Delivery Date

Flight Hours

Flight Cycles

Average Flight Duration

077

14/10/2011

5,627

660

7 h 55 min

090

02/12/2011

4,763

846

5 h 40 min

105

01/10/2012

844

140

6 h

106

01/10/2012

936

112

8 h 20 min

107

12/10/2012

Not yet reported

Not yet reported

109

09/11/2012

Not yet reported

Not yet reported

110

30/11/2012

Not yet reported

Not yet reported

 

Due to initialization of data for MSN 107, 109, 110 no information is available at the time of writing.

 

Company Facts (31 December 2012)

Listing

LSE and CISX

Ticker - Ordinary Preference Shares

DNA2

Ticker - C Shares

DN2C

Share Price DNA2

233.0p

Market Capitalisation DNA2

GBP 169 million

Share Price C Shares

229.5p

Market Capitalisation C Shares

GBP 230 million

Total Market Capitalisation (DNA2 & C Shares)

GBP 399 million

Aircraft Registration Numbers

A6-EDP, A6-EDT, A6-EDX, A6-EDY, A6-EDZ, A6-EEB, A6-EEC

Anticipated Dividend

4.5p per quarter per Ordinary Share.

C Shares targeting 4.125p for the next quarter & 4.5p per quarter thereafter since all aircraft have been acquired and leased to Emirates.

 

Anticipated Dividend Payment Dates

April, July, October, January

Currency

GBP

Launch Date/Price

14th July 2011 / 200p

C Share Issue Date/Price

27th March 2012/ 200p

Incorporation

Guernsey

Asset Manager

Doric GmbH

Corp & Shareholder Advisor

Nimrod Capital LLP

Administrator

Anson Fund Managers Limited

Auditor

Deloitte LLP

Market Makers

Shore Capital Ltd/

Winterflood Securities Ltd

SEDOL, ISIN (DNA2)

B3Z6252 , GG00B3Z62522

SEDOL, ISIN (C Shares)

B5SMNN6, GG00B7MBJP78

Year End

31st March

Stocks & Shares ISA

Eligible

Website

www.dnairtwo.com

 

 

Maintenance status

Emirates maintains its A380 aircraft fleet based on a maintenance program according to which minor maintenance checks are performed every 1,500 flight hours and more significant maintenance checks (so called C checks) every 24 months or 12,000 flight hours, whichever comes first. The first C check of the A380 with MSN 077 is likely to occur in October 2013 and the first C check of the A380 with MSN 090 is likely to occur in December 2013. The asset manager plans to inspect the A380s with MSN 077 and MSN 090 during winter 2012/2013. Emirates bears all costs (including maintenance, repair and insurance) relating to the aircraft during the lifetime of the lease.

 

Hairline Cracks

Since late 2011, hairline cracks have been discovered in a small number of L-shaped metal brackets within the wing structure of some A380s. There are about 2,000 brackets (known as rib-skin attachments or wing rib feet) in each wing, which attach the wing's upper and lower skins to ribs running throughout the wing. The aircraft remain fully airworthy and the hairline cracks pose no risk to flight safety as affirmed by European Aviation Safety Agency ("EASA") and Airbus.

 

Since the occurrence of the issue, Airbus has traced the source of the cracking in A380 wing structures to the choice of a less flexible aluminum alloy used to make the wing brackets, stresses involved during assembly when fitting portions of the wing together plus thermal fatigue during flight at very low temperatures.

 

In February 2012, EASA issued an updated airworthiness directive ("AD") in relation to the wing rib feet cracks, which called for all A380s in operation to be checked for cracks in the brackets that attach to the wing's ribs before reaching 1,300 flights. Aircraft already approaching or beyond the threshold were ordered to perform the checks and repairs almost immediately.

 

In late June 2012 EASA issued a new AD pertaining to wing rib feet cracks on the Airbus A380 aircraft, which specified repeat inspections of A380 aircraft at defined intervals. This will allow A380 aircraft to continue flying until a permanent fix for wing rib feet cracking has been incorporated in the aircraft. The length of the applicable inspection interval is determined by the location within the wing where previous wing rib feet repairs have been made and the type of repair that has been previously made. Depending on this, an inspection interval of between 560 and 1,200 flight cycles is required. After performing this repeat inspection, the follow-on repeat inspections shall have an inspection interval of 560 flight cycles.

 

Airbus has developed a permanent fix to wing rib feet cracking, which is currently being certified by EASA. A retrofit modification will be installed on in-service aircraft, while a production modification will be applied for new aircraft. Airbus announced that both certification processes are well underway and should be completed in early 2013. Afterwards a retrofit kit will be available to operators. A further AD is anticipated which will instruct A380 operators to implement the retrofit. At that time, the retrofit will be installed in existing A380s. According to press reports the first set of metal ribs for the reworked wing design have been scheduled to arrive in the UK wing facility by mid-December 2012. New aircraft with the production modification are expected to be delivered beginning in early 2014.

 

Airbus has confirmed that it may take up to 8 weeks to incorporate the permanent fix in the A380. The permanent fix developed by Airbus will preserve the full design service life of the A380 aircraft.

 

All seven A380s owned by the Company are not yet close to approaching the threshold of 1,300 flight cycles for the first check and hence have not been inspected. It is anticipated that the wing rib feet inspections will mostly be performed in combination with scheduled maintenance activities for each aircraft.

 

All the repair works will be covered by the applicable manufacturer's warranties. In the meantime airlines with A380s on lease will continue to operate the aircraft and their lease rental obligations will remain absolute and unconditional on these events.

 

2. Market Overview

 

The International Air Transport Association (IATA) released its latest industry outlook in December 2012 according to which global industry profits are expected to reach USD 6.7 billion this year. Cost cutting measures and improved industry structures have enhanced the financial performance of airlines during the second and third quarters of 2012. Accordingly, IATA has increased its net profit expectations for the second time in 2012 by another USD 2.6 billion. Compared to its previous forecast in September 2012, expected net profits were at least stable in all regions, with Asia-Pacific (USD 3.0 billion) and North America (USD 2.4 billion) contributing the largest share. The strongest rebound has been assumed for Europe, from minus USD 1.2 billion to a break-even level.

 

But the business environment remains difficult and from IATA's point of view, probability of an accelerated global economic growth in 2013 has diminished. World GDP growth, a key driver of airline profitability, is expected to be 2.1% in 2012, very close to the critical threshold of 2%. During the last four decades, airline industry profits turned into losses, when world GDP growth had slipped below that value. Based on the better than originally expected numbers for the current year, IATA has also increased its 2013 outlook from USD 7.5 billion to USD 8.4 billion. However, expenses for jet fuel will remain on a high level, totalling 33% of the airlines operating costs.

 

Between January and October 2012 passenger demand, measured in Revenue Passenger Kilometers (RPK), expanded by 5.3% compared to the same period the year before. In its latest Global Market Forecast, published in September 2012, Airbus predicts a compound average growth rate of 4.7% for worldwide passenger traffic until 2031. Since the beginning of the second half-year, demand for air travel developed less dynamically, but in consistence with weak economic indices. Slowest growth was observed in the North American market, with only 0.8% higher RPK. The fastest growing region by far was the Middle East with 16% higher RPK in the first ten months of this year, compared to the previous year's period. Average passenger load factor between January and October 2012 reached 79.4% and hence remained on a high level.

 

Air freight has diminished. The number of flown Freight-Tonne-Kilometers (FTK) from January to October 2012 was 2.0% lower than the year before.

 

Sources: IATA, Airbus

 

3. Lessee - Emirates Key Financials and Outlook

 

The aircraft is leased to Emirates for an initial term of 12 years, with fixed lease rentals for the duration.

 

During the first six months of the current financial year until September 2012 Emirates increased its revenues by 17% to USD 9.7 billion. Compared to the same period of the previous year, net profit doubled to USD 464 million. His Highness Sheikh Ahmed bin Saeed Al Maktoum, Chairman and CEO of Emirates, announced, that "half-year performance is the result of hard work and our drive to stay on course and continue to grow despite the precarious marketplace".

 

Notwithstanding the challenging operating environment, Emirates has continued to invest in its infrastructure and significantly increased the number of aircraft. Between April and September 2012 13 wide-body aircraft were added to the fleet of Emirates. In the second part of the ongoing financial year until March 2013, further 15 aircraft will be added. This would be the highest number of new aircraft taken into service in a single year of operation. On 1st October 2012 Emirates set an additional company record: Three wide-body aircraft were handed over to the airline within a day, which required advanced preparation and close cooperation of all operational units to secure a smooth entry into service. During this day, the 24th and 25th A380 were delivered at the manufacturer's site in Hamburg, Germany. According to Adel al Redha, Emirates Executive Vice President of Engineering and Operations, the Airbus A380 remains "one of the pillars of Emirates' future growth". As of 30th November 2012 Emirates has 193 aircraft in operation, with firm orders for another 214 aircraft, including 59 A380.

 

With an increased fleet, Emirates has already launched 15 new destinations in 2012 (Rio de Janeiro, Buenos Aires, Dublin, Lusaka, Harare, Dallas, Seattle, Ho Chi Minh City, Barcelona, Lisbon, Erbil, Washington DC, Adelaide, Lyon, and Phuket). Warsaw and Algiers will join the network of Emirates in February and March next year. The Algerian capital will become the 22nd destination on the African continent. Emirates is also responding to stronger passenger and cargo demand on some existing routes, for example to Lagos, Nigeria. To meet the surging demand from France, a second A380 service into Paris will start in January 2013. By mid-December, six weeks ahead of schedule and just in time for Christmas, the lessee has upgraded all five daily flights into London Heathrow to A380 services. The number of superjumbo flights into and out of London and Manchester has been increased to 360 per month, equivalent to more than 180,000 seats. In December 2012 Emirates operated flights to 128 destinations on six continents.

 

The rapidly expanding fleet allowed an increase of available seat kilometers by 17.3% between April and September 2012, compared to the prior-year period. Passenger traffic carried, measured in Revenue Passenger Kilometers, even grew by 17.8%. This successful development pushed the average passenger load factor to 80%. About 18.7 million passengers flew with Emirates between April and September 2012 - an increase of 15.4% compared to the previous year.

 

As a non-listed company, Emirates discloses selected operational and financial results semi-annually. According to the latest annual report, balance sheet total as per 31st March 2012 was USD 21 billion - an increase of 18% from last year. Total equity increased by more than 3% to USD 5.85 billion with an equity ratio of 28%. The current ratio was 0.98; therefore the airline would be able to meet its current liabilities by liquidating all of its current assets. Significant items on the liabilities side of the balance sheet were finance leases in the amount of USD 5.44 billion and revenues received in advance from passenger and cargo sales (USD 2.58 billion). As of 30th September 2012 the carrier holds a cash position of USD 3.6 billion.

After Emirates and Qantas have announced a global aviation partnership in September 2012, Australia's competition watchdog has recently given its preliminary consent. Final approval is scheduled for March next year. Australia's Competition and Consumer Commission concludes that "the alliance has the potential to result in public benefits". From April 2012 on, the Australian carrier plans to move its hub for European flights from Singapore to Dubai. The 10-year codeshare agreement with Qantas is enhanced by integrated network collaboration with coordinated pricing, sales and scheduling as well as a benefits sharing model.

 

Sources: Air Transport News, Emirates

 

4. Aircraft - A380

 

At the end of November 2012, the global A380 fleet consisted of 92 planes that were in service with eight operators: Emirates (28 A380 aircraft), Singapore Airlines (19), Qantas (12), Deutsche Lufthansa (10), Air France (8), Korean Airways (5), China Southern Airlines (4), Malaysia Airlines (4) and Thai Airways (2).

 

The worldwide A380 fleet operates 120 commercial flights each day (takes off or lands approximately every 6 minutes) carrying 1.25 million passengers each month.

 

Sources: Airbus, Ascend

 

For further information, please contact:

 

Company

Doric Nimrod Air Two Limited

Anson Place, Mill Court,

La Charroterie, St Peter Port,

Guernsey GY1 1EJ

Tel: +44 (0) 1481 722260

Website: www.dnairtwo.com

 

Corporate & Shareholder Advisor

Nimrod Capital LLP

3 St. Helen's Place

London EC3A 6AB

Tel: +44 (0) 20 3355 6855

Website: www.nimrodcapital.com

 

END OF ANNOUNCEMENT

 

E&OE - in transmission.

 

This information is provided by RNS
The company news service from the London Stock Exchange
 
END
 
 
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