RE: Latest Hannam Note22 Jan 2021 16:03
Alpala PFS likely around end Q1; stock remains at steep discount to DCF value.
As outlined in our Dec 24th update, our DCF model for Alpala is based on the “50Mtpa –fast” scenario, as presented in SOLG’s 2019 PEA,with adjustments made to the initial capex budget (H&Pe ~US$2.94bn) and grade profile to account for revisions to the underground design flagged by the Company on the back of the latest geotechnical data. SolGold indicated late last year that the PFS wouldbe drafted and submitted to the Board for approval by around the end of this month, which suggests to us that the final PFS report should be released to the market around the end of Q1. This is to be followed by an “updated PFS”, incorporating further data, ahead of the DFS. Our Alpala NPV remains US$4.2bn, using an 8% WACC, $7,000/t long-term copper price and US$1,950/oz long-term gold price. Applying a target multiple of 0.8x and adjusting for potential dilution from outstanding warrants/options, this translates to a target price of 105p/share, ~208% above the current share price.....END
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