RE: Opec4 May 2025 16:03
I expect the OPEC move, driven by Saudi is is 2 fold.
1. Gain favour with Trump ahead of next months visit.
2. Reign in the rogue states to obtain compliance
On that basis this may be the end of the production increases, so a little more short term pain to come + we have an Iran no deal that may help support POO around current levels. Then we have the wider macro and who knows how that will play out (recession / no recession) Then the cycle starts again, same with the miners
HBR options/impact, capex reduction, modest divi reduction if things dont settle over the next 3 months