RE: 9.72% rise12 Jan 2023 22:45
Well 2024 wasn't the original intended date. Casting my mind back a little now so don't quote me, but when they coup'd the sort of elected leader (who they put in ironically from their coup a few years before lol, so it was a coup within a coup if you will), they stated that they planned to return to democracy as soon as possible and hopefully within the year.
I will never really know what changed or if that was always a lie or if they felt the problems were bigger than expected but that within a year quickly changed to in 5 years. Regionally there was some ego's clashing here a bit with neighbours demanding now and Mali almost extending the time each time they requested a return to democracy. Sanctions were then imposed by ECOWAS which isn't all their neighbours but a big bunch of them. Lots of back and forthes, all very messy, then they budged and reduced the 5 years to 2024. ECOWAS sort of accepted and sanctions have eased.
So yea its messy, but where isn't? Europe has SAV mine but the locals are forever stopping it progressing due to a nimby situation, rightly or wrongly.
Mali of course is higher risk on the risk scale, but so far big companys haven't had an issue. A sceptic might say it's easier to get jobs done in brown enveloping happy countries, who knows.
Funding wise, you are spot on. Lionhead is only one part of it. About a third, even then, not a full third as Cora's holder may get offered the chance to buy in as you already know. The remaining 2 thirds, will need to be from elsewhere and if that was Eastern money, as you put it, it would prob not do any harm.