RE: Cargill Ocean Transportation28 Nov 2024 11:15
"I remember it being discussed on the old iii site during the Maersk POC or LONO. The SP at the time was I believe about 40p and a figure that stuck in my mind was £4. If memory serves, someone who used to post regularly, and reckoned they were 'close to the company', said that was a figure mentioned by a member of the BoD"
While the BoD might have their own ideas about the future value of the company and what they would see as an acceptable price before recommending the takeover, because they own a miniscule number of shares it's largely irrelevant. They might think £1 a share undervalues the company but an offer at that level might easily gain more than 50% of shares and be successful. Obviously the lower the SP at the time of the hostile bid, the lower the takeover offer will be, e.g. an offer of 30p might be successful next week, however in 3 months time if the SP had risen to 8p, the hostile bid would likely need to be much higher.
Ask yourself, what would you accept for your shares today? Then assume the SP is 10p, what would it take for you to part with your holding? It's all about the timing and relevant circumstances at that time.