RE: Shambles, more dilution16 Apr 2025 10:18
Valueplayer1 You are not considering the whole picture i.e. why the placing arose. That was to gain a grant of £750k.
If HMG offers a £750k on the condition the company raises another £750k from shareholders it is a straightforward decision to make. (Like exchanging 50p coins ,one for one, for pound coins)
The numbers:-Using the share price pre placing i.e. 0.4p, dilution was minimal at 3.547%, whereas the increase in value of the company i.e. the addition of the £750k grant compared with the market cap before the issue was 750k/ 8063k or 9.3%.
So as a result of winning this grant and undertaking the placing, shareholders are 5.4% better off. (1.093x 0.9645 ) And that is before the money is put to work, which hopefully will be hugely beneficial.
One should perhaps not use the 0.4p share price for these calculations but the price at close the day before the announcement of the matched grant funding which would have been Friday 4th April. The close then was 0.38p.
Running through the numbers again, to see what the complete effect was since just before the grant announcement, gives the effect of dilution as 2.987% and the impact of receiving the grant on the value of the company as + 9.792%
Overall therefore shareholders are theoretically 6.5% better off as a result of this grant plus issue.
Clearly the price in the market is not reflecting this because either sales of shares or expectations of sales of new shares, as a result of the placing have gone up considerably.
The management should be congratulated for pulling this value enhancing deal off. How times have changed.
Conclusion:- As ever, just after a placing can be a good time to buy