RE: Turning into an absolute1 Mar 2022 12:57
Toyin, I have been investing for decades now, mainly on AIM and lose on the majority of investments, as you have to check out if it isn't happening (before it doesn't happen). In all that time I have got to know many CEOs, I have also watched as the group thinking of confirmation bias magnifies investors expectations (quite often spiked by those looking to create a trading opportunity).
The majority of CEOs are purely cheerleaders, very few of them put any real investment in, they draw large salaries, pensions and bonuses and get their holdings in discounted placings, options and warrant deals. Some have even been Crooked and fraudulent.
In my opinion, CF has been a cheerleader, but has also produced a lot of the things he has been cheering about. However no one could predict the challenges and opportunities that 2 years of Covid have presented him. Another of his faults is he tries to do everything himself, meaning he leaves himself impossible workloads. Then finally the sector leads itself to delays and changes, look at the Govt Covid studies, there have been others delayed by MHRA, changes made by the client and general progress. They happen but later than expected, which again makes the organising of all these trials a huge task.
Luckily CF has stopped being a cheerleader and is now sharing the load with 'Mo'.
Positive bias among investors is always a danger, especially if they don't just start to believe everything said (without a sense of realism) but also start to egg up what is said to even higher expectations. That has happened here and there is a group that are preying on that positive bias, stoking it at times and pulling the rug at others. Thereby throwing everyone into disarray and forcing people to sell and buy at stupid times from which the group benefit.
It won't stop until those hurting sell out, in my experience though, there are potentially multibags to be made from the bottom and not always able to know when the bottom is hit, I tend to average in each month. ORPH is an odd one as well as a selling of the whole Company is always a potential.