RE: Darker Days22 Apr 2020 01:41
When I said that I could foresee change on the horizon, it was because of the general malaise which had set in with regard to the UK economy as Brexit approached.
This was on top of the unrest apparent in the retail and property sector where the large chains - (those that are left) - were looking to reduce the cost of their presence in all those lovely shopping centres that no decent sized town could afford to be without - when they were building them !!
An economy which is driven by debt is always vulnerable to a downturn, the UK economy will not be restored quickly when the means of reviving it is apparently more debt.
I know that a bankers juices will always flow at the prospect of a large accumulation of debt, because they believe that if you can generate a large loan book a steady income stream results - "Get em into debt and live off the interest" is a very old maxim mostly attributed to the money lenders of old but with several modern day parallels.
This pandemic however is a whole new ball game which in addition to the damage that it will do to the productive elements of the economy, it will provide ample cover for employers to reduce their headcount which will impact the economy.
Services both financial and insurance based will be among the first casualties, followed by the retail sector - quite where it will end is anybody's guess, which makes me very glad to have ended my direct participation in the economy when I did, because I would probably not have survived the effects of the virus on the business that I ran because of the after effects on the hotels next season.
Now I'm getting depressed - perhaps if I considered Irelands future over the next ten years it would cheer me up - because I have much more faith in the youngsters here and ability to rise to a challenge.
Good luck all......