RE: Trend1 Nov 2019 00:44
When I posted earlier pouring cold water on Joebop's bullish views, I was not taking a hand at him, I was reflecting on the current state of the economy in the UK.
Ireland's economy is admittedly doing well at the moment BUT the levels of debt are increasing again which hampers growth - if interest rates rise that create a further brake on growth because that has to be serviced. If it cannot be serviced the bank loses money instead of making it.
The UK is shedding jobs, the levels are debt are increasing, which makes it harder for people to spend in the economy, then we have Brexit and an election which Boris thinks he is going to win. If he does, the economy and jobs are going to suffer from more zero hours contracts and falling economic activity in a market where BOI has always been active but not always successful - I am thinking of their purchase of Bristol and West Building Society where even the bond holders were burnt.
The only way that I can see a prospect of worthwhile growth is for Brexit to be stopped, that would produce a bounce I am thinking, because that would release a short flurry of activity, delayed investment decisions would be dusted off and enacted with the participation of the banks as enablers - for a fee and interest of course - result "Ker Ching."
Leo calls an election to take advantage of the brighter news, whether he wins or not when it is over the clouds will start to gather. If people have borrowed money the cost of servicing that debt reacts on the economy like a flat tyre.
Good luck all.