Member Info for TopCatz

Wow. Didn't expect that. Sales are really accelerating there. BELL is going to be a beast

This is an interesting debate and underlines why the market may be easier to penetrate stateside. I think basic national health services in Europe are probably entrenched in the way they work and undeniably limited by budget so initially it will progress better through private health insurance, at least initially until it becomes better known.

The US system with higher degree of health insurance should be less prohibitive with regards to price.

Those contracts were massive news to me and should pave the way.

Hopefully we will see you soon!

Cash burn should gradually decline now they've got the market penetration. That was the hard part.

Agreed they can't leave it until the last minute. They could stretch cash for possibly 9 months but may need to have a good look at this in 4-6 months.

By then they should be able to present an increasing revenue stream to borrow against.

Have a good evening all.

Regards

Anything else you hear about a possible Russia invasion is basically someone talking their book....Not that, that in itself, is a rarity on bbs

Focus on this section as it's pretty long winded.

Geopolitical conflict tends to cause market volatility, at least in the early days. Logically, investors might assume that the volatility continues throughout war times, but history shows that this isn’t the case.

Yes, during the pre-war phase, stock prices decline due to uncertainty, but once war begins, the stock market goes up. Most of the pre-war volatility subsides, and investors enjoy relative stability. It is worth noting that when there is no escalation period and war breaks out suddenly, without warning, stock prices drop before eventually climbing.

https://financhill.com/blog/investing/do-stocks-go-up-during-war-times

All we need is a goo bull run and this will hit 45p in the blink of an eye, and that's without any value adding RNSs. Coming soon

Once it's concluded, either Russia back off or attack (ironically) everything will pick up
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Going to be one hell of a bounce. From a TA perspective there is a lot of very oversold shares out there I can tell you

I think the 50k seller is just the trading arm of one of the 28p placees. Choppy waters so they're just playing it safe. They'll let it go at some stage.

I'm getting pretty tired of the West trying to bully Russia. It's really not working. They need to take a step back and look at their collective self. It's entirely understandable why Russia doesn't want NATO camped on it's door step. Is all they need to do is delay any union with the Ukraine, (2/3 years ?) and it will all go away.

Sick to my back teeth of it and all the western rhetoric. Weapons of mass destruction, etc etc. We've heard it all before. Once it's concluded, either Russia back off or attack (ironically) everything will pick up and maybe the 50k flipper will set higher targets !

Yes WG. It's speculative to say the least. I only go in using TA, that will be the rises, for no apparent reason you see every now and then. If it finishes the day 0.125 to 0.13 it could be a quick trade to 0.16 or 0.23 depending on momentum etc so 25% (much safer option) to near on 100%.

Bazz. Yes seen all that and WG has alluded to that too. It's a very, very risk share to deal with so always small stakes. Like I was saying to WG, I may well sit it out as the STX dive has rather ruined my appetite for risk !

TW is an accountant I believe so blogs on figures alone. With SYME he likely has uncovered something. I wouldn't disagree with that at all.

A plumb TEK RNS would be a nice plaster for me and many of us I suspect this week ! :)

Very true. Difficult times, but they'll pass as they always do.

Best thing about TEK is you know what you get. If you get a set back, you just average down or hold if no further funds available. A company with a pedigree stable is always going to bounce back quickly, so reassurance there.

Best of luck with all your shares WG.

Yeah. I hate to see people lose money, I really do, but unfortunately that's the nature of the game. We can't all win.

SYME. I'd never hold but they look like they've broken out of descending wedge. Needs confirmation which may come today. Never in there for more than 5 minutes but appreciate the warning. I'm battered and bruised from my STX holding (thankfully the minor to Tek being my major holding) but still a set back and stings like hell). I'm waiting for an average down point there but need a bit of time. The aftermath of that is making me a bit weary of trading full stop at the moment so nothing set in stone.

Jesus wept, that's a fall. Hope no one here is too exposed to that one.

Just highlights the hedge we have here with 4 and a half companies under our wing !

Interesting to see if there are any holding notifications next week. Over 40% of shares are held by institutions, and somewhere in the region of 25% by private firms. Retail investors account for just over 13%..just reread the hardman report with the 281p target, well worth a read. I think you can download straight from Herdman and co. As far as I can see they have equalled or exceeded their initial 2021 USA remit to increase market awareness and payer coverage. They've done that with bells. Hardman forecasted just under £8 million cash at hand. (Results £12 million) so they are well within spend guidelines. Suggests good financial management which is good to see.

Revenue. Forecast at £3.6 million (actual £1.5). This is the primary origin for the bear case which appears to be solely based on accountancy facts. Nothing wrong with that. In fact in 90 % of cases minimum, it's perfect. However, the Shield strategy of building up market awareness and payer coverage is dismissed entirely by looking at the results as there will be a skew to the downside looking at current results. The coverage is now there and no mean feat I imagine. Shield provided no targets for USA Revenue in 2021 as they new the first 6 months stateside would be all about setting payer coverage up for 2022. Now it's in place, we can assume that they will adjust their pricing accordingly and crank up Revenue quickly.

This is a bear raid, exploiting the disconnect in results and payer coverage at nominal pricing. Watch for large institutional holding adjustments for 'inforned clues'. Are they selling or not

Shorters are borrowing stock on loan. When they close, they buy and the SP rebounds, sometimes violently. Time to buy soon.

GLA. DYOR and read the report and do your own analysis. At worst Shield are a couple of months behind schedule in the states imo. Pricing adjustments imminent with a simultaneous ramp up in prescriptions and Revenue will follow. Off the back of that debt facility, will be a pieceof****. Shield is debt free no loans, no bond holders, with a small market cap. Sales costs are also front loaded and it will sell itself, one embedded in the system.

A lot more to like than not to like at the current SP.

GLA. I won't be engaging in BB spates next week. I know the bear case like we do/should and don't feel I need to defend my views to anyone :)

Welcome to Shield Diagnostics :) Banker2.

Bit of topic I know everyone. TI. You'll make heaps I'm sure. All about timing at the end of the day. Good luck mate

Cheers Mick.

Been here before (STX). Just have to wear it, not panic and work out a plan. Like you say sentiment generally turns around but you need powder to take advantage.

No.1 rule....keep powder dry

Also apologies to anyone who followed by 'hot' tip. Living proof you should follow your own guidance I suppose and stake small unless you are absolutely sure :(

No Mick - It's a bit of a train wreck, but I have plenty of powder. When it's bottomed out, i'll double up but waiting for confirmation.

TW has got his teeth into it but I still think the market is reading it wrong so will bring my average 30ish down when I think it's right.

Not a great day Mick !

SP looks like it's firming up to me, regardless.

Coiled spring :)