RE: mafl3 Nov 2021 10:45
You're right, of course, liquidity is an issue. But we had a TR1 in September showing that somebody could acquire a 3.3% stake. Let's run with those figures for a moment..
Assume somebody could acquire another 3.3% stake at 12p per share - that would cost them about £139k.
If it was Ascendant there are some interesting benefits:
1) they would not just be buying into additional Lagoa Salgada, they are also taking a 3.3% share in the $3.5M they are paying into MAFl over the next year! That's equivalent to $115,500
2) they would have 3.3% of the remaining 20% of Redcorp held by MAFL (equivalent to 0.66% of Redcorp). Their payment of $2.5M next year to secure an additional 30% of Redcorp values each 1% of Redcorp at $83,333. That 0.66% resulting would be worth $55,000
3) they would have the benefit of the additional investments (Ideon is a great example of that!) and cash currently held by MAFL for free.
If my maths is correct, that would result in a benefit purely on their share on LS of $170,500 ($55,000 + $115,500) for an investment of £139k. If LS creates the massive value we expect then that's on top...
My point is that it wouldn't need much investment by Ascendant to still be worthwhile. Just my musings anyway!