RE: Strange7 Jul 2026 12:32
@SmiffyBlok85. You make a good point and the key word you have used is “structural”. H1 contained £60m of one-off losses, inflating the overall loss figure although what remained did contain cost increases; if these are contained/manageable then there will be no cause for concern. One-off impact of Iran/fuel must be seen in context.
The nuggets often overlooked in the H1 results were the near 2% increase in load factor and the 22% increase in Holiday customers. On the former, provided yield wasn’t compromised then it is good news. If it persists and there is continued good news on the Holidays progress then, from a structural point of view, it would show that the business on track. There was previous mention of later visibility of bookings. But I’m sure that EZJ later said that this was improving.
I’m hoping that there will be a positive update on the new Italian bases.
So, while the Q3 update may bring “bad” news, if all the stars align (and it is a BIG if) then it may mean there is no wriggle room for CastleLake to try to come in below 690; in fact it may even spur them to increase to, say, 700 to clinch the deal.
If the deal falls through then I believe that, although there will be a pull back in the SP, it won’t be to ridiculously low levels. And others will be looking, if they are not already.
EZJ is a fundamentally good business IMO, with good steady growth plans/fleet replacement etc. I was never looking for a bid so if it does fall through I won’t be fazed.