Investor Chronicles Highlights - rate a buy8 Oct 2025 18:51
I suggested buying Audioboom’s shares, at 345p, The share price has almost doubled since then, but it still offers potential to double again if the company is taken over.
The US podcast advertising market is worth $2.4tn of which Audioboom has a 3 per cent market share, ranking it fifth behind Spotify (US: SPOT), SiriusXM, Amazon (US: AMZN), and iHeartMedia (US: IHRT). Underlying growth in the US market should continue to provide a healthy tailwind as the IAB/PwC survey of US podcast advertisers forecasts high single-digit percentage revenue growth in 2026.
The combination of fragmented market dynamics, Audioboom’s strong platform, market standing and strength of its business model, uniquely position it to be a participant in the market consolidation as adoption rates increase.
Audioboom entered the second half with more than $70mn revenue booked, its highest level of advertising inventory. It should achieve house broker Cavendish’s full-year revenue estimate of $83.2mn, which supports more than 40 per cent growth in annual operating profit and pre-tax profit to $4.5mn and $4.3mn, respectively. This trajectory is expected to continue next year when a combination of organic growth and a 12-month contribution from Adelicious are forecast to boost revenue to $94.5mn and underpin 51 per cent growth in operating profit and pre-tax profit to $6.5mn and $4.3mn, respectively.
On this basis, the shares are rated on a 2026 forward price/earnings (PE) ratio of 29 and on 22 times forecast operating profit to enterprise valuation. In addition, Audioboom is expected to generate a high return on both equity and capital employed of more than 30 per cent in 2026, highlighting the attractive nature of its capital-light business model. Free cash flow (FCF) could increase eightfold to $5.3mn in 2026, which underpins a forecast FCF yield of 3.3 per cent. In the world of US technology valuations the current rating is not expensive.
Indeed, analysts at Cavendish value Audioboom’s equity at 1,300p a share, or almost double the current share price. At the target price, Audioboom’s enterprise valuation of $308mn would equate to 3.2 times 2026 revenue and 43 times cash profit estimates. To put this into perspective, audio tech peers trade on multiples as high as six times 12-month forward revenue and more than 40 times cash profit to enterprise valuation. The target price doesn’t seem out of kilter for a company forecast to double operating profit over two years.
So, with Audioboom firmly in play, the share price breaking out above the February 2025 high (680p), and trading on a deep ratings’ discount to peers, the shares continue to rate a buy.