No point in sticking your head in the sand23 Jul 2023 22:48
However much it might pain me (due to an x million share holding in Kodal) to accept that the Mali situation is changing, I would be a fool, and it could be financial suicide, not to take a pragmatic approach. The last couple of months, coincidently while KOD tries to finalise its deal with Hainan, has seen a significant change in the geopolitical situation, and an increase in risk due to the withdrawal of the UN Peacekeeping Force, the push by Wagner into Central Africa and the potential change to the Mali government’s mining regs. There are plenty of reliable and official information sources to corroborate this view - a few basic web searches will take you there.
Hindsight is a wonderful thing - would I have held all my holding after the sp rise to 0.9 if I had seen this coming? Probably not. Was I naive? Probably.
And now, in my view, the longer the wait the higher the risk to the deal closing.
I have learnt over the years not to close my eyes, cross my fingers (and everything else!) and unquestioningly believe that anything is a 100% “dead cert”. I learnt that lesson the hard way. I’ll be watching news closely over the next few days, and take whatever action, if any, on my holding.
And hopefully this will not invite the personal insults that have become all so common on this board just for being somewhat circumspect in my research.