What is Northacre worth today.?12 Aug 2010 08:43
Lets start with the Land bank, and its value to the company.
The vic in my view is worth around 10M of built in profit.
Next the Goodwill, my real value of that is just £5M as i have never been keen on goodwill in any company.
Next we have the two earners in the company, who could make a million quid this year, [int design and the arch] so £5M value on those.
Now the big one the Lancasters, at todays prices, with half sold, Northacres profit share is in my view running in the region of £80M, with Minervas at around £100M.[mnr stated yesterday their share was running over twice the 37M they have put down to the banks]
MNR would have to play very safe with that valuation at this stage of the project, so my view is the real profit for them will be 3x the £37M when all sold or £11O M.
Thats gives us a value of Northacre of £100M less £20M tax = £80M less a charge for built in risk say £20M.
I value Northacre today at a clear £60M, or £2.20p a share