Member Info for Takayama

It’s still painful to see in terms of this being a far better entry price! Why did I buy so high (well, it looked an attractive multi bagger!) . Grind Teeth time!

Great vision, great outcome. Well done Adonis. It's a slog, but we'll get there.

The maths is pointing to risk of no-deal being at its lowest this week. The opportunity cost of hold WG is also at its lowest. This is the best week to hold WG in expectation of a deal. There may or may not be a deal, but if you're going to take a punt, then this is the week to do it. There're probably lots of investors moving out of other shares and into WG this week. It could be a sustained rise to a more reasonable price - so closer to what an expected bid may be (factoring in risk of there not being a bid). Tricky week for traders/investors as you may be presented with an attractive price to sell, but then miss out on a realistic offer which will inevitably be higher.

What an absolute load of rubbish! Anyone believing this sort of rubbish should be shot for being so stoopid!

Shewillkillme- good story, good lesson to share with all, thanks for sharing. And good for your other half for supporting you. They’ve obviously got their head screwed on. If she gets sick of you, I’m available lol! I was also wondering if your moniker revealed a deeper fear around trading! Take care buddy and best regards to you both. It’s a team sport.

Dave - (a) a leak will be the buy signal. Chance of a leak happening? Pretty close to zero. Whoever had that boozy lunch with the FT journalist in the first place will have had a serious slap of their wrist. It's unlikely to happen again. (b) No news will be a buy signal. Seriously. The closer it gets to 24 March with no updating RNS, the higher the probability that Sidara have not walked away. There is an obligation, following the RNS announcing the talks, to inform the market if Sidara have walked away/are not interested as we know there has been a market created as a result of that original RNS. The general principles of the Takeover Code are clear that a false market must not be created. So if Sidara have walked away and the market is not informed, then the market for shares has been distorted by incorrect information. (c) your own assessment is a buy signal. We've all got slightly different things we look at. Add it to your calculation. (d). A sustained higher price - for example the share price moving and not falling below 40p/41p - it could be because of sentiment (because others have done the maths on probability of a deal, so risk/reward on the bet) or because of a leak... . It's a sort of micro signal. It was good news in that sense that we closed around 40p on Friday. Watch the SP carefully this week. But again, don't be caught out if the SP dips! It's really complicated. Some people will lose their nerve/be happy to cash in before a deal is announced. I've seen it often, before deals are announced, or before particularly good results. The dip is NOT indicative that a deal won't happen - necessarily. (e) If I end up selling my shares on Thursday, then a deal is almost certainly going to be announced on a Friday. Lol! That one's a joke! Ha ha ha! But sometimes has been shown to be true. It's hard to hold your nerve in these situations. It's so much easier to cash in and put your money in a building society rather than lose at least half of it overnight. But what reassures me here is that WG is still a good company, so yes, SP will fall to around 20 I'm reckoning on No Deal, but it will climb up again, albeit more slowly..... . It'll be annoying as it's opportunity cost rather than actual expense of holding the shares.

You can always count on the Lloyds chat board to have a bizarre political discussion led by the supremos of misinformation Gboy and BigBloomers! Nothing at all to do with the business anymore, completely misinformed, even when they have/post information they don't seem to understand what they're talking about! But let's face it, we all love a bit of argy bargy in our spare time! Especially with complete idiots who just repeat the latest bit of fantasy from social media! Lol! Keep it going Bloomes! You provide entertainment!

Another indicator that this sector is bubbling and ripe for m&a: Hunting PLC - London-based services for oil and gas industry - Daniel Tan, managing director for Asia Pacific, buys 218,565 shares at 295.5p, worth GBP645,860, on Wednesday. Tan now has 385,720 shares, a 0.2% stake.

Dark knight, no one is stopping this from going beyond 40. It's just trading as such... .

They can wait until 24th March COP I believe to ask for an extension. If we do hear about an extension, it'll be via RNS, and so presumably Monday 24th... .

Unfortunately, the liquidity is so low here that it is almost not worth trading. Fine if you're looking at a couple of thousand quid, but unfortunately, for anything more, you'd be looking at a much longer term hold which carries sizeable risk... . Sorry guys, I've been looking at this from afar, and it's a decent enough business but ..... .

Bobber - it could be a steady rise, or it could be little change followed by a massive explosion. No one knows. But one thing seems more certain than early January is that we are not going to fold and there will be a decent rise sometime within the next 24 months. So when to buy in is the only question as far as I can see. For me, it’s fomo that caused me to buy in. The probability of this being a good bet is higher following these results and is unlikely to change (to even better) until AFTER the rise has happened.. .

Isle- Personally, I love your posts! These boards rely on informed opinion, tireless research shared, luckful (good word that I made up) insights but also comments such as that bit about needing a gf/bf to provide colour and laughs for the rest of us. I enjoyed your company and look forward to more!

The beginning of a run up to a new higher level as we've gone half way through the month. The maths, in terms of probability of a deal, is now on the side of those going long now. Let's see if this hits 42 or 43 today.... and closes above 41.

You're probably right Taverham. There'll be lots of people getting similar jobs but perhaps with a different boss, but as Starmer says, rather than two head offices there'll be one, so there are likely to still be efficiencies and an overall reduction in headcount - and politicians will once again be held accountable for failures rather than have the opportunity to blame someone else, as they were before the Tories took over. Only good for growth in the end.

The chances of an offer materialising increase the closer we get to March 24th. The chances of there being no offer decrease the closer we get to March 24th. It's maths. That's all.

Sidara won't buy shares because :(a)it will up the share price and it is unlikely they'll be able to buy the company for a reasonable price as the SP will continuously go up, so it is cheaper to buy it as a whole (b) it makes them look like an overenthusiastic puppy. WG group will up the selling price as much as they can as a result. (c) if they can't get the whole company, then they will be left with a whole load of shares they don't want.

Your GF's cat is probably emanating a particularly delicious odour for that to happen. Is there a link to a video?

Johnychainlocker - potentially they could 'acquire' such information, but it's highly illegal to do so, and would probably result in at least a fine from the toothless FCA, but hopefully a jail term not only for the individual but also their employer who has asked them to do this... . Insider trading at its worst. But you're right. If you're here, you've got a risk appetite. If you're a shorter, you've probably got a pretty developed risk appetite. If that's your full time job, then you love risk! Maybe you could get away with it... ! Lol! Anyway, I imagine the boss, unless they're a fool, would say no to such behaviour. The firm could go under.

"Sales of new Tesla cars almost halved in Europe in January, according to data from the European Automobile Manufacturers’ Association, pushing the carmaker’s market share down to 1%." I'd venture the European market is bigger than the UK market. And the deadweight of Musk at the top of Tesla (for that is what it is - like him or not, his personal stock has fallen enormously compared to 12 months ago) will take some time to go through to consumer buying decisions. Who knows what UK car sales COULD have been in Feb 2024? Perhaps 30% up rather than 20%? Many of those sales completed in February will have been based on decisions made over the previous months. That consumer decision making process has undoubtedly been hit by Musk's political leanings towards supporting a political party (AfD) described by Le Pen as "too extreme" for FN to engage with.