Erdogan11 Jul 2023 07:00
He isn’t as stupid as once thought and is clearly being directed by his new cabinet who, appear to be more pragmatic, better informed and orientated west. He realises it’s time to place bets and backing the wrong pony could have a detrimental effect on his already damaged economy. His tentative alignment/support for Russia has not and will not bring prosperity or security so, he’s gone for the easy trade. How they’ll square the payment of fines is less understood but, I’m sure a compromise can be found, considering what’s at stake. As for the date/time of the visit, I can’t see it being before the end of the month as, there’s the NATO summit to reflect on and he’ll need to address the national government on the Sweden/NATO decision. He’s going to be busy for a few weeks so, I guess we’ll need to be patient for a little longer. My money has always been on the acquisition of GKP by a super major that can develop and sustain an asset like Shaikan, the developments over the past few months have reinforced this view, what price a buyer would be prepared to pay is another debate. Bon chance.