Analysis26 Sep 2025 20:51
Good analysis, credit due to edgein on ADVFN:
But personally I reckon we currently have better assets than Seascape and they have a current cap of around £50m. A mix of contingent and prospective which they may do ok from once drilled. GCoS ranges from about 30-50% which seems a little optimistic on some of their targets. They don't have anything the same quality as EG-08, their assets are more in line with the likes of Inishkea or Inishkea West in terms of scale and CoS.
They certainly don't have any tier 1 assets with 80% CoS, I guess that's why EOG are in advanced talks with an major energy company right now! Well to be drilled updip from a well with gas and condensate shows, reminds me a bit of CHAR's Anchois-2 well that sent its share price from about 3p-20p+. It wasn't nearly as large or as high quality opportunity as Barracuda.
Wressle-2 non-dilutive funding and Cloughton tba, EG-08 should be full carry. If all goes to plan with all the planning permissions for UK, licence extension and farmout on good terms for EG-08, then EOG should be anywhere in the range of 3-7p. A top end Cloughton could add around 5p and more if it needs multiple dev wells, broker suggested up to 23p/share for EG-08 (its got multiple shallow targets on the block too).
So lots to play for between now and year end, locked and loaded like GWB, focus remains on EG-08 if anything else comes in its a bonus. Imo success on Barracuda will unlock the other opportunities that Will hinted at. You pays your money and takes your chances etc.
Regards,
Ed.