RE: The real deal21 Aug 2021 09:50
Are we not losing focus on what the decline is initially all about? It is still an exploration decline. They will reach the top of the ore body before October 2022 and then start all the infill drilling in earnest.
Only when that has completed, and all the known areas that they've seen from cores that have been drilled from the surface are added into the MRE, that is when mining will really start. Hence SB's 2-3 years makes sense, at least to me.
Also note that in a normal scenario (I think it was Red Chris) the same MRE and PFS to actual mining was put at 5-6 years in Newcrest's midweek publication. And that time frame would normally be even longer for a greenfield site, Red Chris has the advantage of being beside a working pit and all its associated infrastructure. Comparing those two timelines shows how keen Newcrest are to feed Telfer and how much fastracking they are doing at HAV.
And I'm thing they will infill drill to the detail required for adding to the MRE only to a certain depth, perhaps targeting only the first 800m top section of the ore body first, knowing there is more ore below. Once mining they will juggle how to safely do stoping and additional deeper exploration drilling in parallel. So they will see what else is below the known ore body and prove up what is 2,000m below the top of the ore body, or 2,400m below surface level, or to whatever depth mines can operate in 2025.
....Saturday morning musings of a non-mining expert with zero mining experience.