RE: Could BMN weather a global recession?15 Aug 2019 20:36
One of my favourite posts , supplied by BBN , a expert on BMN,who mentions a possible recession. October 30th 2018
Largo is given such an elevated valuation on what it is achieving in this pricing environment and so it should. But Largo whilst bringing on line limited further expansion, is and will, as far as we know, always be a vanadium miner.
BMN is playing catch up but it not only will achieve that and then some on the mining side, but it will go on to outstrip any achievement Largo can ever hope to accomplish because it will be fully integrated.
When vanadium the mineral finally experiences lower prices driven by new mines, then Largo's valuation will adjust accordingly, and the market knows it. But with a successful and expanding VRFB development business that allows BMN access to the profits right across the process, BMN will create a recession proof model that will mean that consistent profit levels can be achieved, even in a downturn.
Why? because for a long time into the foreseeable future, the world's governments and associated funds will pour money into renewables and with it battery storage, in order to right the wrongs of generations past and present. Righting that wrong cannot be suspended just because the world economy catches a cold. Commitments to those funds won't be curtailed just because the purse strings are being tightened, the problem of climate change is too real now.
What forward earnings ratio can one apply to such a model, a model that delivers consistent dividends, a model that delivers recession proof earnings, a model that in mining has never been seen before and certainly never in such an exciting and expansive green industry. One thing is for sure, a common mining PE ratio simply won't cut it.
And that scenario is now closer than we all think, than we all dared to dream. The Eskom BESS Project offers the greatest front end opportunity for BMN to realise that dream, and it is right on BMN's doorstep, right next to all that lovely vanadium, that soon to be lovely electrolyte, thus creating the greatest possible competitive advantage BMN could ever wish or plan for right when BMN needs it the most.
When BMN completes that major piece of the puzzle and the market gets it's head around what it means, then we won't be comparing BMN to Largo because Largo simply won't cut it anymore.
BigBiteNow
Posted in: AMER
Posts: 4,306
Price: 10.12
Strong Buy
RE: Being manipulated
30 Oct 2018 14:22
About 50% profit Workover.
It's not about whether arguments hold water or not, it's about taking all fundamentals into consideration and assessing them against the current valuation.
At 10.3p the anticpated PE ratio is maximum 6.4. At 15.5p it's 9.7. At 9.7 the headwinds becomes more relevant. At 6.4 they have no right to start blowing yet because other more basic clearer fundamentals are stronger at that level.