RE: ROCK2 Jan 2020 11:43
Good question:
If you look at the response to each of the RNSs released over the past month, the first few had fantastic responses whilst the remainder fizzled out rapidly, ending in barely a response at all to the release of the final drill results with subsequent decline in SP.
Why?
1. An expectation for positive drill results was already factored in to the SP from the initial rises.
2. As we approached the final drill results, the reality that, as you say, these results wouldn't materialise into profitable extraction for some time, sunk in for investors.
3. People became more acutely aware that each RNS would result in only a temporary boost to the SP, and keen to offload their shares during these peaks.
4. Selling pressure from the warrants.
This resulted in lackluster reactions to the most recent RNSs.
The situation we are in now is different.
1. The selling pressure from warrants is easing off. The point at which warrants are profitable to churn is 1.1-1.2p, hence the stagnation at this SP, but as the last are churned this barrier will be lifted.
2. This will hit a tipping point where the SP can realise its actual value of 2+ pence.
3 The remaining people invested are mostly medium to longer term holders rather than day traders looking for a quick profit.
As I have previously mentioned, a good RNS is the required catalyst for this to catapult up 50+%. We cant predict when this will come out, but this is unlikely to drop below 0.95p at the minimum, so now is the ideal time to buy in.