Member Info for snige

LTI
"You mean business not the UK population (we voted to leave the EU). They are upset and missing their easy option from being in the EU."
I think you have uncovered the true disruptors to Britain progress,those who don't support British business.

With so many reasons why the UK economy is short of labour has anyone thought it could be due to the catastrophic rise in the NHS waiting list?
Although it's only risen a million during the pandemic to 5.3 million,7.4 million fewer people have been referred over the last 15 months which gets us close to Javid's possible prediction of 13 million by September 2022.
Roughly half this number are of working age and along with a third of adults on sedatives the country is truly sick,but it doesn't show up on statistics because people cannot afford to live on SSP at £13.76p a day even if they were entitled to it.
https://ifs.org.uk/publications/15557
https://www.cityam.com/exclusive-half-of-all-uk-businesses-currently-unable-to-run-at-full-capacity/

"CALYPSO CATAMARAN ST. JAMES'S CLUB - GREEN ISLAND

Sorry, there are no products available at the moment."

UK economy now at full pelt with 8 donkeys operating on Weymouth sea front!
https://www.camsecure.co.uk/Camsecure2/Weymouth_Seafront_Webcam.html

What if lloyds figures are so good next week they decide like other FTSE companies to return any gains to the treasury,in lloyds case return its share of the £79 billion of covid loan guarantees - good for Britain.

LTI,
Warwick model has a 90% in preventing serious illness and hospitalization cases.
93% or 90% not much in it but if infections increase by 21% amongst the double jabbed then the 10% are more likely to be infected at a faster rate.
Do you agree.

The government model (Warwick) is based on Pfizer 2 dose having a reduction of risk of infection of 85% however in the real world,
" it is evident that since June 6th there was marked decline in the effectiveness of the vaccine in preventing infection (64%) and symptomatic illness (64%). This decline has been observed simultaneously with the spread of the Delta variant in Israel".
https://www.gov.il/en/departments/news/05072021-03
Pfizer was used in the most vulnerable in the UK so we might be able to get rid of the casual ping but people will still need to isolate if told to,otherwise the infections will work through to the 10% of over 50's too fast.

Vallence said yesterday 40% of those hospitalised were from the fully vaccinated 67% which on the face of it looks pretty good,however if we ignore deaths as inevitable (per the UK government) then the NHS is going to be breached.
40% is far to high.

"Lloyds shares up 38.65% in 2021 thus far; Market resistance remains at ... are to be believed, a dividend yield of 5.6% is likely this year."
https://www.ig.com/uk/news-and-trade-ideas/what-is-the-outlook-for-lloyds-shares-over-the-rest-of-2021--210610

To make the yield figure of 5.6% work on a divi of 1.9p for 2021 sp would be 33.9p,or a 5% on a consensus 1.7p would give you 34.4p

Wouldn't pin all your hopes on unicorns Livestock,very little of the money ever gets into the real economy and in the process it diverts investment away from where it should be,i.e 100GW of wind turbines/Severn barrage.
World at One on Friday interviewed one of the team who created the NHS app and she said "they never anticipated this number of infections in a highly vaccinated population".
Boris should talk more with the pixies in the Rose garden on the "giving up"phase of his road map i think.

I want to know when the city boys get time to work if they spend 10% rinsing and the rest of the time eating bread & butter.
Does my prediction of 45.8p three weeks ago count?

In the first 5 months of 2021 the trade in goods with the EU has widened by £18 billion or £818 million a week in the back of a lorry,lol.
https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/2995521/11563179/6-16072021-BP-EN.pdf/87f8f1ba-2517-910b-ab1a-52e33faca1c3#:~:text=The%20first%20estimate%20for%20extra,2020%20(%E2%82%AC123.0%20bn).&text=Intra%2DEU%20trade%20rose%20to,41.6%25%20compared%20with%20May%202020.
Domestic Banks are risky when an economy fails and billions of loans have to be guaranteed by government.

Ask the Pope,he must have a view on Lloyds.

"“Freedom Day” will boost the UK’s GDP by a further £2.2 billion per month, equating to £74 million of additional economic output each day."
Livestock,i still can't see the economic advantages of being first and having higher levels of infection.Surely that cost will be higher than £74 million a day.

SUFC, "Another £2700 left to invest from Mays dividend"
And there's me thinking you needed the divi to live on.
The market sent retail investors in the wrong direction today as much as Marcus Rashford did,fooling the Italian goalie and then missing the goal.
We need to laugh off these mishaps which i'm sure Marcus and the team will do and we also need an independent press so government cannot hype up cheap nationalism which is likely to have cost us the chance to host future events.

"In recent months, the rapid rollout of the UK’s vaccination programme has led to an improvement in the UK economic outlook. But risks to the recovery remain. Households and businesses are likely to need continuing support from the financial system as the economy recovers and the Government’s support measures unwind over the coming months."
Responsibility will switch to banks in the final stage of this biological experiment.
The Warwick model for the roadmap was released on the 31st March 2021 and must have been prepared after the highly transmissible delta variant, first identified in India in late 2020 and the vaccination program which asks the question how could they have predicted the 3rd wave would peak in late August 2021.
Any how assuming nothing is what it seems i feel the death rates have been exaggerated to bet expectations but the country still stands on a cliff edge hence markets are jittery.
https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/975909/S1182_SPI-M-O_Summary_of_modelling_of_easing_roadmap_step_2_restrictions.pdf#page=18

If a Tory papers is saying it then it must be serious.
I don't see problems with the demand side and i don't personally need a Lloyds loan but what i do find even though the economy is running at 2.5% below 2019 is i can't buy the things i want.
The Mail online article explains what i believe is true.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9778331/Britain-isnt-working.html

They think it's all over,it is now,lol
Too much hype for me,we need better media.

We should have picked up earlier the disappointing GDP figures for May when the Bank of England published on the 24th of June that " output in June is expected to be around 2½% below its pre-Covid 2019 Q4 level."
On that reckoning the May GDP of 3.1% below,an improvement of .8% on April and the estimated .6% for June suggest the growth is slowing already if you believe B of E figures.