RE: 2018 V price spike20 Feb 2020 00:14
As a self professed novice on Vanadium in general this is my simplistic view... The lower V prices actually advantage BMN at the moment.
Firstly, BMN are already low cost producers who can profit at the current V price levels. This is compared to competitors who are still green field and can't get off the starting blocks with investment to fund their build or expansion, or others with higher production costs.
While V prices are low it is also beneficial to VRBF's. They will be more attractive to those looking to build energy storage solutions and they will gain traction due to their ability to rival the Li-ion alternatives on prices. Not to mention their other advantages in regards to longer life, safety, being more environmentally friendly to produce & recyclable at end of life.
Personally I would be happier if V prices didn't shoot up as it would allow VRBF's the time to solidify uptake. It would also cement BMN as the go to low cost suppliers in the market. Once VRBF's become as mainstream as Li-Ion then I'd hope for the V prices to rise.
Either way: in my opinion BMN have positioned themselves perfectly to capitalise on either outcome. I've taken the conservative approach in my investment. V prices are bound to rebound from current levels - which the BMN SP will no doubt track, but the VRBF future is potentially huge, and is where the 'free bonus' upside sits. Win, win and still win situation as I see it.