Corona19 in perspective29 Feb 2020 02:33
Been packing for a holiday (errr), but that that 20x more lethal comment in the previous post encouraged this one...
There are a lot of varying views on the Coronavirus. These range from it being similar to a less harmful version of the existing flu strain (with longer gestation), through to it being a full on Armageddon type virus that is going to wipe us all out.
I think the former is closer to the truth considering the fatality rates. IMO it's likely to become akin to the mainstream type of 'flu', ie. pretty much what we already have recurring seasonally, but with it's own unique complications. Media is turning this into a frenzy - previously it was SARS, Avian flu, etc. People die of 'flu' every day. A couple years ago my early 80's grandfather in perfect health, got the 'regular' flu and died a couple weeks later. Not to mention my missus, in perfect health, who got regular flu and ended up with pneumonia and streptococcus (thankfully recovered).
This isn't some Ebola type virus that bypasses all immunity. It's very similar to getting the regular flu or cold for most people. They will probably come up with a vaccine, but it may turn out to be like the flu vaccine, which I've personally never taken. I'd rather my body learnt how to fight these things off, and only take pharma as a last resort.
Is the world in crisis? At the moment I'd say yes. Not be because of the virus itself, but because of the hysteria being whipped up around it and the fallout from that hysteria.
The question is what will the downturn look like? The US market was at risk already as it was greatly inflated, particularly with speculative stocks like . Virgin Galactic. The UK has been hit hard, and we can't really say how far and deep this will go at the moment.
What will the world be like going forward: who knows, but when it comes to green initiative companies like BMN, energy storage will forefront (but don't ignore V's use in steel). Once the markets have settled, it's companies like BMN who are going to come back to the fore, and IMO have the greatest growth potential. Those on this board already know why BMN is well positioned to capitalise on the VRBM space going forward.