Takeover Strategy4 Feb 2021 11:28
Quick hypothetical on the takeover front. I think I've asked this before but still don't have a clear idea of how a takeover would go through.
If I'm not mistaken, 25% of shares would be enough to block a takeover (please correct me if I'm wrong). So...
1. If BHP bid, nick and CGP could block it easily enough. Surely this alone will prevent a serious lowball. As someone already pointed out, 0.45p is basically what CGP already declined from us. I'm not sure NCM would necessarily back a bid from BHP unless there's something in it for them?
2. Chinese bid. BHP surely don't want to lose it to the Chinese. NCM either and that's them already getting close to 25%. But to satisfy nick et al. this would at least have to be a good offer and he'd have to do a big U turn on his production motive which doesn't seem to have happened despite him stepping down as CEO.
So what is the easiest route to getting a takeover through? And are the potential difficulties in getting a takeover through adding to the damp SP at the moment?
For the record I'm long on SOLG and continue to believe we'll see value sooner or later, and certainly wouldn't mind an auction in theory.