RE: Sammy's poll14 Jan 2023 10:40
Agree. While i think capex should pause for now and hold off going above 5000mtv target, and profits sensibly used to settle as much of the Orion debt as possible before the rump is inevitably renegotiated, i would like to see any Capex after that point deployed to a microgrid at Vanchem to meet as much of the energy needs there as possible, and getting much closer to production capacity and therefore further reducing costs.
You have to deal with the immediate headwinds, this is load shedding in my view, and it isn't going anywhere. Detractors would say that's another target missed in terms of raising production, but a business should not chain itself to targets set before covid, war and the escalation in load shedding.
A good business has to be flexible in its approach to its targets, deal with issues as they arise and also try to take advantage of opportunities that present themselves. While the comms have been poor, its my view that BMN have done pretty well on other areas and i hope they continue to be flexible in their approach. That gives me confidence that the company are in a safe pair of hands given the significant headwinds faced recently.
Looking forward to this year being the beginning of the end of the SP malaise when it becomes clear Orion debt will have a large chunk cleared and the rest renegotiated, clearing that market view of carrying too much debt in the poor macro environment.
GLA