RE: Fortune11 Sep 2018 14:22
I appreciate emotions are running higher than usual however the 30% drop is not solely down to a strike. As I posted previously less than 10% of lost production detailed in the last quarterly update was down to industrial action. The other 90% was down to items within company control which they clearly stated they know about and are taking actions to address. So if our original drop was being judged solely on production then of that original 5p we lost only 0.5p is attributable to industrial action.
Of course the percentage depends on where you are measuring it from, 28p or 23p. If 28p then the above applies. If 23p when this strike was announced then the drop is 17.4%.
It is also clear that given shareholders were more than happy to support the company after the announcement last week, so much so that we were even up at one point in the afternoon, there is something else going on and this strike is being used as a convenient excuse to erode the share price. Particularly as despite buys outweighing sells by some margin each day we are being continually marked down. I am sure that LTH sentiment is largely unaffected by this and the vast majority are "long and strong" - and posts indicate many are taking advantage of this and accumulating.
The reality is therefore somewhat different from a perception that this drop from 23p is all about a strike. It's about shorters making money backed by warrants using the strike as a convenient excuse. The impact to company financials going forwards appears to be minimal thanks to increasing V prices.
Certainly what you said about getting other areas of the business on line is true, the more diversified we are in terms of income streams the less a specific stream will impact the business. I am particularly looking forward to this BE plan as I am sure many others are.