RE: Good Afternoon26 Jul 2013 00:58
Kamel, good to have your view - and especially good that you are able to vouch for one of the bGlobal products from first hand experience.
Tbh, I know very little about their field of business, other than as a consumer of energy. But I too was lured in recently by what seemed like a good gamble, even though the share price had fallen dramatically from its highs. My reasoning was:
1. Part of the business was profitable (Utilsoft) so a re-structuring or sale should be possible
2. The proportion of revenues coming from recurring fees was rising
3. There is no debt
4. They have cash in the bank (approx £3m)
5. The total number of shares in issue is very small
6. The smart meter national roll-out keeps drawing closer, albeit still a few years away
7. Samsung had shown interest in the business by agreeing to a conditional JV.
Even if the company down-sized to just a software business by closing - or, if possible, selling - its other divisions, I could easily see it making a profit of £2-3m per annum. And if it could do that, then the business would be worth £15-20m (compared to the current market cap of £5m).
I didn't know at the time that major shareholders had come up against a brick wall in their efforts to put in a new chairman and to re-structure or sell the business. Now that this is public knowledge and an EGM has been called to remove the brick wall, I am feeling quite confident that we will have new management who will do the right thing for all shareholders, leading to a sale of the company and a nice return on my bet. But if they should decide to re-structure and retain the business then I would be fairly sure that the share price will rise to a respectable level, ie around 12-15p, in the not-too-distant future. So, good luck to us: I think our timing is perfect.