RE: utilisoft revenue potential29 Apr 2014 20:34
"I think the point that OnTheUp was making is that it doesn't need the Kennedy vote to get to 75% if all the other shareholders vote in favour."
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EdwinSanchez1, I get that - but 100% of the remaining votes isn't a realistic scenario. To demonstrate how unrealistic it is, I, with my modest holding, would hold the balance of power in that scenario. Everyone else could vote in favour but if I joined Kennedy in voting against, the resolution would fail. So, while it may be a theoretical possibility, I think it has a 0% chance in practice of succeeding.
However, it could be a different scenario if Kennedy were to support the BoD in selling off the plc (or its main/sole asset, leaving a shell plc behind to distribute the proceeds to shareholders or seek approval to invest the cash in some other venture). You highlight what seems to be a new venture for the Kennedys and the possibility that he would be pragmatic and let his need for seed capital overrule his antagonism towards the BoD and so vote with them to sell off the asset.
Again, I can't see why this should happen. Hawkwood Capital want their money back as a minimum, and preferably a good return on it. From memory, their shares stand them in at 14p apiece. They are in the middle of their plan to realise that value and all seems to be proceeding well. So I can't see why they would abandon that plan at this stage and take a paltry 6p for their shares.
More likely imho is that Hawkwood, and/or other IIs, would simply buy Kennedy's shares from him if he needs to sell. For around £1.5m, that would give Hawkwood a 30%+ stake which might be more than they want - or it might suit them. In any event, if they don't want more than 29.9% it should be easy enough to find another buyer for the 'excess'.
However, this scenario would lower Hawkwood's average and could allow them to accept a lower offer for the plc/sole asset of around 10p per share -- unless they know they can get more.
Anyway, it's interesting -- as I don't think we have yet seen the full extent of the masterplan.