Forbes Commentary5 Jan 2024 14:24
Can the rally be sustained?
"The developments have prompted many investment banks increase their share price target for Rolls-Royce to 400p. These include J.P. Morgan, Deutsche Bank and UBS. Goldman Sachs, which has a price target of 370p, notes: "Investors are questioning whether expectations are too high. We do not think so."
Neither do I. The worse does appear to be over for Rolls-Royce and its product offering remains compelling. But a certain level of caution is merited.
For instance, the company's post-Covid civil aerospace business order books may be bulging but it won't fully shake off the Covid downturn until Q4 2024. Its headline recovery could be even later if consumer confidence takes a hit in the current high interest rate climate and people spend less on airfares. That's why near-term share price gains will likely be limited beyond 300p.
Rolls-Royce is also still verging on a negative equity position, i.e. its liabilities outweigh its assets. So, while I expect a post-pandemic "re-starter" dividend at some point, it is highly doubtful this will be offered before the end of 2024 either.
All-in-all, another 200% uptick (or a climb to 900p levels) appears unlikely for Rolls-Royce in 2024. However, gains achieved over the past 12 months will likely be sustained and built upon, albeit modestly" . . End
Source: Mr Gaurav Sharma
UK Based Energy Analyst & Business News Editor - Forbes