RE: BHP12 Apr 2023 13:46
"The diverse book, is now more diverse and any bid that stands a chance of success, must have all the main holders on board and the biggest holder is Nick Mather."
I look forward to the day where the diverse book theory, one of the wooliest theories to appear on this BB is finally put to bed.
The biggest holder is not Nick Mather. The biggest holder(s), according to the latest presentation, is the 23.7% held by Cornerstone and Maxit Capital. Then if we tally up DGR (Mather), Tenstar (also purportedly Mather) and Mather himself, we reach 13.8%. Followed by BHP and NCM on 10.4% and 10.3% respectively.
Given Mather's comments last year to DGR investors, where he stated that the aim was to sell the stake in SOLG, we can fairly assume that we now have 37.5% of the company (Cornerstone, Maxit + Mather's holdings) all pulling in the same direction. This makes the book LESS diverse, because there are now MORE shareholders pushing for the same outcome - a sale.
FWIW, I don't see why BHP would bid for SOLG now in order to interrupt the talks we may or may not be having with Jiangxi or other interested parties. If they have a price in mind that they are willing to pay, it would make more sense to bide their time, as they have done to date, and then counter any bid that SOLG's board recommend to shareholders that comes from Jiangxi / a third party. For Jiangxi, lodging a relatively low bid for the company seems like a no brainer. If it's countered by someone else, they've made a tidy return on a 9-12 month investment. If it isn't, they've picked up a Tier 1 for a very good price.
Nice to see us moving back towards a more acceptable share price. Now is the time to get this sold if there ever was one.